Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?

99%

0-10

$391K 交易量

$43.0K Liq.

Ends 12 分鐘前

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

42%

0-10

$37.4K 交易量

$53.0K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

55%

20+

$27.0K 交易量

$42.1K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

3%

20+

$654K 交易量

$51.6K Liq.

Ends 3 天前

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

99%

0-10

$2M 交易量

$48.1K Liq.

Ends 3 天前

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)

32%

30-34

$51.4K 交易量

$60.2K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?

18%

April 30

$3M 交易量

$103K today

$137K Liq.

122

Ends 3 天前

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

38%

$68.8K 交易量

$54.5K today

$34.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?

15%

United States

$796K 交易量

$211K Liq.

23

Ends 27 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

12%

$2M 交易量

$216K today

$278K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

48%

<5

$2.0K 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

39%

15-19

$11.7K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

CZ # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

CZ # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

84%

<20

$9.7K 交易量

$13.0K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

CZ # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

CZ # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

100%

<20

$49.5K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 16 小時內

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

51%

2–3

$35.8K 交易量

$14.8K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

Who will enter Iran by June 30?

7%

Any U.S. House member

$241K 交易量

$265K Liq.

4

Ends 3 個月內

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

29%

Habshan Field/Processing Complex

$137K 交易量

$145K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

88%

$467K 交易量

$58.3K Liq.

49

Ends 3 個月內

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

2%

March 31

$119K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

Ends 3 天前

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

99%

April 1

$10.9K 交易量

$21.3K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 霍爾木茲.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for 霍爾木茲 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to April 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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