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霍爾木茲 預測與賠率

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

1%

$30M 交易量

$2M today

$332K Liq.

1

Ends 2 天內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

69%

June 30

$23M 交易量

$604K today

$242K Liq.

520

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

39%

$11M 交易量

$432K today

$208K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

11%

$664K 交易量

$409K today

$121K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

22%

20+

$1M 交易量

$120K today

$75.6K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

60%

$2M 交易量

$113K today

$157K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

16%

$951K 交易量

$79.7K today

$34.0K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

88%

0-10

$685K 交易量

$134K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

4%

Oman

$1M 交易量

$254K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 25?

62%

25-49

$49.9K 交易量

$66.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

85%

$406K 交易量

$127K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

1%

$2M 交易量

$31.9K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

29%

$6.2K 交易量

$30.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

20%

$8.2K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

53%

United States

$4.1K 交易量

$22.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

3%

$971 交易量

$18.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

24%

Oil Sanction Relief

$7M 交易量

$505K today

$220K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

58%

Oil Sanction Relief

$87.9K 交易量

$107K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What will JD Vance say during Air Force Academy Address?

What will JD Vance say during Air Force Academy Address?

100%

President / Trump 10+ times

$26.6K 交易量

$57.0K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 17 小時前

What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing?

What will Scott Bessent say during the next White House press briefing?

91%

No Tax

$365 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 17 小時前

Frequently Asked Questions

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Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 霍爾木茲 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.