Market icon

Masoud Pezeshkian在... ?

Market icon

Masoud Pezeshkian在... ?

$514,158 交易量

2026-04-30
Polymarket

$514,158 交易量

Polymarket

4月30日

$3,550 交易量

7%

6月30日

$110,483 交易量

21%

12月31日

$111,582 交易量

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian remains firmly in office amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, highlighted by his April 1, 2026, open letter to the American public urging scrutiny of war motives and demanding security guarantees for any ceasefire with the U.S. and Israel. This follows recent Israeli strikes killing Intelligence Minister Ismail Khatib and ongoing proxy conflicts, yet Pezeshkian's public statements and meetings, including with EU leaders, affirm his continuity since his July 2024 election. Parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf's December 2025 impeachment threats over cabinet performance linger as a structural risk under Iran's oversight by the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader, but no procedural advances have emerged. Traders weigh these institutional pressures against diplomatic signals, with potential U.S. negotiations or escalation as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$514,158
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian remains firmly in office amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, highlighted by his April 1, 2026, open letter to the American public urging scrutiny of war motives and demanding security guarantees for any ceasefire with the U.S. and Israel. This follows recent Israeli strikes killing Intelligence Minister Ismail Khatib and ongoing proxy conflicts, yet Pezeshkian's public statements and meetings, including with EU leaders, affirm his continuity since his July 2024 election. Parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf's December 2025 impeachment threats over cabinet performance linger as a structural risk under Iran's oversight by the Guardian Council and Supreme Leader, but no procedural advances have emerged. Traders weigh these institutional pressures against diplomatic signals, with potential U.S. negotiations or escalation as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$514,158
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Masoud Pezeshkian在... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 37%, followed by "6月30日" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Masoud Pezeshkian在... ?" has generated $514.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Masoud Pezeshkian在... ?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Masoud Pezeshkian在... ?" is "12月31日" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6月30日" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Masoud Pezeshkian在... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.