US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by...?

US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by...?

3%

March 15

$31.2K 交易量

$8.5K Liq.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 10-16)
·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 10-16)

24%

20-24

$125K 交易量

$77.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 2 days

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
·Iran

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

35%

$281K 交易量

$168K today

$85.9K Liq.

32

Ends in 17 days

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

4%

$42.7K 交易量

$15.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 17 days

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

10%

$128K 交易量

$20.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 4 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

18%

$1M 交易量

$57.5K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

98%

$48.2K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

15%

$475K 交易量

$68.6K Liq.

24

Ends in 10 months

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

23%

$66.0K 交易量

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

6%

$452K 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

10

Ends in 4 months

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

23%

$160K 交易量

$62.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

44%

$39.1K 交易量

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

9%

$28.1K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

15%

March 31

$58.7K 交易量

$3.8K Liq.

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

9%

$9.2K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

5%

$0 交易量

$17.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 10 months

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

65%

$6.9K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
·Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

36%

20+

$191K 交易量

$77.7K Liq.

22

Ends in 17 days

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
·Iran

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?

64%

0-10

$77.4K 交易量

$67.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

37%

$215K 交易量

$46.5K Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 船.

Polymarket currently hosts 125 active markets for 船 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “China x Japan military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 83% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 船 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.