**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to "No" on whether Trump will try to acquire part of Alberta, reflecting the absence of direct U.S. moves toward territorial acquisition despite related developments.** Trump has repeatedly discussed broader Canada-related ideas, including annexation rhetoric and USMCA trade reviews, while administration officials held meetings with Alberta separatist groups in early 2026 and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the province as a "natural partner" with significant resources. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith have both stressed respect for sovereignty, and Alberta's government has advanced plans for an October 2026 referendum on initiating separation processes. Recent statements from Trump emphasize that the United States does not need Canadian energy or other resources, aligning with a pattern of economic pressure rather than formal acquisition efforts. No official U.S. actions, legislative proposals, or presidential directives have targeted ownership or control of Alberta territory, keeping the implied probability of such an attempt low amid ongoing diplomatic friction and Canadian domestic political responses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to "No" on whether Trump will try to acquire part of Alberta, reflecting the absence of direct U.S. moves toward territorial acquisition despite related developments.**
Trump has repeatedly discussed broader Canada-related ideas, including annexation rhetoric and USMCA trade reviews, while administration officials held meetings with Alberta separatist groups in early 2026 and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the province as a "natural partner" with significant resources. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith have both stressed respect for sovereignty, and Alberta's government has advanced plans for an October 2026 referendum on initiating separation processes. Recent statements from Trump emphasize that the United States does not need Canadian energy or other resources, aligning with a pattern of economic pressure rather than formal acquisition efforts. No official U.S. actions, legislative proposals, or presidential directives have targeted ownership or control of Alberta territory, keeping the implied probability of such an attempt low amid ongoing diplomatic friction and Canadian domestic political responses.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
交易量
$3,404結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to "No" on whether Trump will try to acquire part of Alberta, reflecting the absence of direct U.S. moves toward territorial acquisition despite related developments.**
Trump has repeatedly discussed broader Canada-related ideas, including annexation rhetoric and USMCA trade reviews, while administration officials held meetings with Alberta separatist groups in early 2026 and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the province as a "natural partner" with significant resources. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith have both stressed respect for sovereignty, and Alberta's government has advanced plans for an October 2026 referendum on initiating separation processes. Recent statements from Trump emphasize that the United States does not need Canadian energy or other resources, aligning with a pattern of economic pressure rather than formal acquisition efforts. No official U.S. actions, legislative proposals, or presidential directives have targeted ownership or control of Alberta territory, keeping the implied probability of such an attempt low amid ongoing diplomatic friction and Canadian domestic political responses.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the US federal government publicly announces that Trump or the United States is seeking to take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sovereignty or control refers to any attempt to bring part of the territory of Alberta under the legal governance and jurisdiction of the United States, including as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, or through an arrangement in which the US otherwise exercises governance and jurisdiction in the territory. Commercial agreements, trade deals, or other actions that do not seek formal US governance or jurisdiction over the territory will not count.
A qualifying announcement must directly state either ongoing direct efforts, or a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over a portion of the territory of Alberta (e.g. “We are going to take Alberta” or “We are trying to take Alberta” would count). Statements that express a desire to control Alberta, but do not express a clear intent to engage in direct efforts to take sovereignty or control over Albertan territory (e.g. “We want Alberta,” or “We’re looking into purchasing Alberta”) will not count.
A consensus of credible reporting that the United States is undertaking ongoing direct efforts or negotiations to acquire, purchase, annex, or otherwise take sovereignty or control over any portion of the territory of Alberta will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Donald Trump and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,404結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 86.5% probability to "No" on whether Trump will try to acquire part of Alberta, reflecting the absence of direct U.S. moves toward territorial acquisition despite related developments.** Trump has repeatedly discussed broader Canada-related ideas, including annexation rhetoric and USMCA trade reviews, while administration officials held meetings with Alberta separatist groups in early 2026 and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the province as a "natural partner" with significant resources. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith have both stressed respect for sovereignty, and Alberta's government has advanced plans for an October 2026 referendum on initiating separation processes. Recent statements from Trump emphasize that the United States does not need Canadian energy or other resources, aligning with a pattern of economic pressure rather than formal acquisition efforts. No official U.S. actions, legislative proposals, or presidential directives have targeted ownership or control of Alberta territory, keeping the implied probability of such an attempt low amid ongoing diplomatic friction and Canadian domestic political responses.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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