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世界·加拿大

亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？

Market icon
世界·加拿大

亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？

是

14% 機率
Polymarket

$39,958 交易量

是

14% 機率
Polymarket

$39,958 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent separatist groups like the Alberta Prosperity Project and Stay Free Alberta claimed on March 31 to have surpassed the 177,732-signature threshold under the Citizen Initiative Act, potentially triggering a provincial referendum on independence from Canada as soon as October 19, 2026—yet Elections Alberta has not verified the count amid possible legal challenges. Trader consensus at 85.4% "No" aligns with Abacus Data and Angus Reid polls from early March 2026 showing only 25-29% support for separation, a rock-solid two-thirds majority opposed, and consistent minority sentiment since January. Premier Danielle Smith's administration prioritizes the Alberta Sovereignty within a United Canada Act over full secession, while the Supreme Court of Canada's 1998 Secession Reference requires federal negotiations for any exit, reinforcing low odds of a successful "Yes" vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$39,958
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent separatist groups like the Alberta Prosperity Project and Stay Free Alberta claimed on March 31 to have surpassed the 177,732-signature threshold under the Citizen Initiative Act, potentially triggering a provincial referendum on independence from Canada as soon as October 19, 2026—yet Elections Alberta has not verified the count amid possible legal challenges. Trader consensus at 85.4% "No" aligns with Abacus Data and Angus Reid polls from early March 2026 showing only 25-29% support for separation, a rock-solid two-thirds majority opposed, and consistent minority sentiment since January. Premier Danielle Smith's administration prioritizes the Alberta Sovereignty within a United Canada Act over full secession, while the Supreme Court of Canada's 1998 Secession Reference requires federal negotiations for any exit, reinforcing low odds of a successful "Yes" vote.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$39,958
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞伯塔在2026年會投票決定獨立嗎？" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" has generated $40K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" is "亞伯塔在2026年會投票決定獨立嗎？" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞伯達省會在2026年投票支持獨立嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.