President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure as president, confirmed by his open letter to Americans on April 1 amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% against a presidential election by June 30. Elected in the 2024 snap vote following Ebrahim Raisi's death, his four-year term extends to 2028, with constitutional snap elections requiring presidential death, resignation, or incapacitation—none officially triggered despite March assassination attempts on him and senior officials like security chief Ali Larijani. The Assembly of Experts swiftly selected a new Supreme Leader in early March after Ali Khamenei's killing, stabilizing top authority without disrupting the presidency. Ongoing airstrikes, Trump administration threats of further action, and Tehran's Strait of Hormuz leverage signals preclude electoral processes in the near term, barring regime collapse or Pezeshkian's sudden removal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於是
$192,811 交易量
$192,811 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$192,811 交易量
$192,811 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure as president, confirmed by his open letter to Americans on April 1 amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% against a presidential election by June 30. Elected in the 2024 snap vote following Ebrahim Raisi's death, his four-year term extends to 2028, with constitutional snap elections requiring presidential death, resignation, or incapacitation—none officially triggered despite March assassination attempts on him and senior officials like security chief Ali Larijani. The Assembly of Experts swiftly selected a new Supreme Leader in early March after Ali Khamenei's killing, stabilizing top authority without disrupting the presidency. Ongoing airstrikes, Trump administration threats of further action, and Tehran's Strait of Hormuz leverage signals preclude electoral processes in the near term, barring regime collapse or Pezeshkian's sudden removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
交易量
$192,811結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure as president, confirmed by his open letter to Americans on April 1 amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% against a presidential election by June 30. Elected in the 2024 snap vote following Ebrahim Raisi's death, his four-year term extends to 2028, with constitutional snap elections requiring presidential death, resignation, or incapacitation—none officially triggered despite March assassination attempts on him and senior officials like security chief Ali Larijani. The Assembly of Experts swiftly selected a new Supreme Leader in early March after Ali Khamenei's killing, stabilizing top authority without disrupting the presidency. Ongoing airstrikes, Trump administration threats of further action, and Tehran's Strait of Hormuz leverage signals preclude electoral processes in the near term, barring regime collapse or Pezeshkian's sudden removal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$192,811結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Mar 1, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Masoud Pezeshkian's continued tenure as president, confirmed by his open letter to Americans on April 1 amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran conflict, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% against a presidential election by June 30. Elected in the 2024 snap vote following Ebrahim Raisi's death, his four-year term extends to 2028, with constitutional snap elections requiring presidential death, resignation, or incapacitation—none officially triggered despite March assassination attempts on him and senior officials like security chief Ali Larijani. The Assembly of Experts swiftly selected a new Supreme Leader in early March after Ali Khamenei's killing, stabilizing top authority without disrupting the presidency. Ongoing airstrikes, Trump administration threats of further action, and Tehran's Strait of Hormuz leverage signals preclude electoral processes in the near term, barring regime collapse or Pezeshkian's sudden removal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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