Recent polls position the Parti Québécois ahead or tied with the Quebec Liberal Party near 30 percent support ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote, driven by consistent strength among Francophone voters and gains in recent by-elections. The Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed back into a three-way race following Christine Fréchette’s selection as leader, lifting its share by roughly nine points in May surveys. Traders assign the PQ a 57.5 percent implied probability of forming the next government, reflecting its structural advantages in vote distribution under the first-past-the-post system and the limited time remaining for the CAQ recovery or Liberal consolidation to overtake it before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於魁北克黨 57%
魁北克自由黨 28%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 17%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$545,012 交易量
$545,012 交易量
2026-10-05
魁北克黨
57%
魁北克自由黨
28%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
17%
魁北克保守黨
<1%
魁團
<1%
魁北克綠黨
<1%
魁北克黨 57%
魁北克自由黨 28%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 17%
魁北克保守黨 <1%
$545,012 交易量
$545,012 交易量
2026-10-05
魁北克黨
$56,068 交易量
57%
魁北克自由黨
$59,398 交易量
28%
魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）
$67,411 交易量
17%
魁北克保守黨
$168,933 交易量
<1%
魁團
$70,303 交易量
<1%
魁北克綠黨
$122,899 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls position the Parti Québécois ahead or tied with the Quebec Liberal Party near 30 percent support ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote, driven by consistent strength among Francophone voters and gains in recent by-elections. The Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed back into a three-way race following Christine Fréchette’s selection as leader, lifting its share by roughly nine points in May surveys. Traders assign the PQ a 57.5 percent implied probability of forming the next government, reflecting its structural advantages in vote distribution under the first-past-the-post system and the limited time remaining for the CAQ recovery or Liberal consolidation to overtake it before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市場開放時間： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
交易量
$545,012結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls position the Parti Québécois ahead or tied with the Quebec Liberal Party near 30 percent support ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote, driven by consistent strength among Francophone voters and gains in recent by-elections. The Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed back into a three-way race following Christine Fréchette’s selection as leader, lifting its share by roughly nine points in May surveys. Traders assign the PQ a 57.5 percent implied probability of forming the next government, reflecting its structural advantages in vote distribution under the first-past-the-post system and the limited time remaining for the CAQ recovery or Liberal consolidation to overtake it before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$545,012結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls position the Parti Québécois ahead or tied with the Quebec Liberal Party near 30 percent support ahead of the October 5, 2026, vote, driven by consistent strength among Francophone voters and gains in recent by-elections. The Coalition Avenir Québec has climbed back into a three-way race following Christine Fréchette’s selection as leader, lifting its share by roughly nine points in May surveys. Traders assign the PQ a 57.5 percent implied probability of forming the next government, reflecting its structural advantages in vote distribution under the first-past-the-post system and the limited time remaining for the CAQ recovery or Liberal consolidation to overtake it before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions