魁北克省大選獲勝者

Name: 魁北克省大選獲勝者
Start: 2025-12-02T17:24:36.803Z
End: 2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z

魁北克省大選獲勝者 — 討論

nicoco89 · 2025-12-02T17:24:36.803Z

關於魁北克省大選獲勝者的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

世界·世界選舉

魁北克省大選獲勝者

魁北克黨 56%

魁北克自由黨 33%

魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 8%

魁北克保守黨 <1%

$385,335 交易量

2026-10-05

魁北克黨

$37,132 交易量

56%

魁北克自由黨

$39,801 交易量

33%

魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）

$37,265 交易量

魁北克保守黨

$121,752 交易量

<1%

魁團

$46,161 交易量

<1%

魁北克綠黨

$103,223 交易量

<1%

魁北克黨 56%

魁北克自由黨 33%

魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ） 8%

魁北克保守黨 <1%

$385,335 交易量

2026-10-05

魁北克黨

$37,132 交易量

56%

魁北克自由黨

$39,801 交易量

33%

魁北克未來聯盟（CAQ）

$37,265 交易量

魁北克保守黨

$121,752 交易量

<1%

魁團

$46,161 交易量

<1%

魁北克綠黨

$103,223 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"魁北克省大選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "魁北克黨" at 56%, followed by "魁北克自由黨" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "魁北克省大選獲勝者" has generated $385.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "魁北克省大選獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "魁北克省大選獲勝者" is "魁北克黨" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "魁北克自由黨" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "魁北克省大選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "魁北克省大選獲勝者." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $385.3K traded on “魁北克省大選獲勝者,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "魁北克省大選獲勝者," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 56¢ for "魁北克黨" in the "魁北克省大選獲勝者" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 56% chance that "魁北克黨" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 56¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 44¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "魁北克省大選獲勝者" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Oct 5, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "魁北克省大選獲勝者" market has an active community of 46 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "魁北克省大選獲勝者." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

魁北克省大選獲勝者

魁北克省大選獲勝者

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評論 (46)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "魁北克省大選獲勝者" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "魁北克省大選獲勝者" generated on Polymarket?

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How will "魁北克省大選獲勝者" be resolved?

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What does a price of 56¢ for "魁北克黨" mean?

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