France's fragmented National Assembly remains highly unstable following President Macron's 2024 dissolution, leaving successive governments without a stable majority. Recent re-appointment of Sébastien Lecornu as prime minister has triggered immediate no-confidence motions from both the far-right National Rally and hard-left France Unbowed, scheduled for mid-October 2026. Passage of either motion could force Macron to call snap legislative elections under Article 12 of the constitution. Traders also monitor fiscal pressures from the contested 2027 budget, ongoing student protests over education funding, and positioning ahead of the April-May 2027 presidential vote. These dynamics, combined with historical precedent for dissolution amid deadlock, shape market views on timing for any declaration of new legislative elections.
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