Market icon
政治·法國

勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ？

Market icon
政治·法國

勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ？

$314,950 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$314,950 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$17,396 交易量

10%

2026年12月31日

$4,115 交易量

37%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu's minority government, operating in France's hung National Assembly since his September 2025 appointment and brief October reappointment, recently gained breathing room by passing the 2026 budget in February after surviving multiple no-confidence votes through repeated use of Article 49.3. Today's parliamentary rejection of constitutional reforms for New Caledonia underscores ongoing divisions, while surging fuel prices have sparked backlash against his refusal to cut taxes amid deficit concerns. No immediate no-confidence motions loom, but opposition from left- and right-wing blocs could coalesce over fiscal policies or territorial issues, with the 2027 budget process as a key upcoming test for stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$314,950
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sébastien Lecornu's minority government, operating in France's hung National Assembly since his September 2025 appointment and brief October reappointment, recently gained breathing room by passing the 2026 budget in February after surviving multiple no-confidence votes through repeated use of Article 49.3. Today's parliamentary rejection of constitutional reforms for New Caledonia underscores ongoing divisions, while surging fuel prices have sparked backlash against his refusal to cut taxes amid deficit concerns. No immediate no-confidence motions loom, but opposition from left- and right-wing blocs could coalesce over fiscal policies or territorial issues, with the 2027 budget process as a key upcoming test for stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$314,950
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Dec 4, 2025, 12:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 37%, followed by "2026年6月30日" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ？" has generated $314.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ？," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ？" is "2026年12月31日" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "勒科努在擔任法國總理前... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.