Market icon
政治·Uk

工黨領袖選舉排定於... ？

Market icon
政治·Uk

工黨領袖選舉排定於... ？

$58,759 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$58,759 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$14,290 交易量

31%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Amid Labour's slumping popularity and fears of heavy losses in the May 7 elections for the Scottish Parliament, Welsh Senedd, and English councils, speculation intensifies around Prime Minister Keir Starmer's position, but no leadership election has been scheduled by the National Executive Committee. Angela Rayner's March 18 speech criticizing party direction reignited calls for a contest, echoing earlier averted challenges in February over unrelated scandals. Party rules require a trigger like Starmer's resignation or a no-confidence vote from a majority of Labour MPs or the NEC, followed by MP nominations (at least 20% support), affiliate backing, and a one-member-one-vote ballot. Polling shows members favoring alternatives like Andy Burnham, with post-election fallout as the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$58,759
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 24, 2025, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Amid Labour's slumping popularity and fears of heavy losses in the May 7 elections for the Scottish Parliament, Welsh Senedd, and English councils, speculation intensifies around Prime Minister Keir Starmer's position, but no leadership election has been scheduled by the National Executive Committee. Angela Rayner's March 18 speech criticizing party direction reignited calls for a contest, echoing earlier averted challenges in February over unrelated scandals. Party rules require a trigger like Starmer's resignation or a no-confidence vote from a majority of Labour MPs or the NEC, followed by MP nominations (at least 20% support), affiliate backing, and a one-member-one-vote ballot. Polling shows members favoring alternatives like Andy Burnham, with post-election fallout as the key near-term catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$58,759
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 24, 2025, 4:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"工黨領袖選舉排定於... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6月30日" at 31%, followed by "12月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "工黨領袖選舉排定於... ？" has generated $58.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "工黨領袖選舉排定於... ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "工黨領袖選舉排定於... ？" is "6月30日" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12月31日" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "工黨領袖選舉排定於... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.