Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage following his April 2026 swearing-in after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, combined with consistent leads in recent polls such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys from May through July. These show Ferraço at 37–41% in first-round scenarios against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in the low-to-mid 30s, with other names trailing further behind. Ferraço’s approval ratings near 77% reflect sustained voter support for the current administration’s performance. Pazolini remains the clearest challenger as Vitória mayor, though gaps persist in head-to-head and multi-candidate tests. The October election timeline and ongoing campaign dynamics, including potential alliances, continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於里卡多·費哈索 66%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 34%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 1.4%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾 1.2%
$13,514 交易量
$13,514 交易量
2026-10-05
里卡多·費哈索
66%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼
34%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈
1%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾
1%
Euclério Sampaio
1%
里卡多·費哈索 66%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼 34%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈 1.4%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾 1.2%
$13,514 交易量
$13,514 交易量
2026-10-05
里卡多·費哈索
$7,205 交易量
66%
洛倫佐·帕佐利尼
$3,546 交易量
34%
阿納爾迪尼奧·博爾戈
$1,728 交易量
1%
塞爾吉奧·維迪加爾
$485 交易量
1%
Euclério Sampaio
$550 交易量
1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage following his April 2026 swearing-in after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, combined with consistent leads in recent polls such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys from May through July. These show Ferraço at 37–41% in first-round scenarios against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in the low-to-mid 30s, with other names trailing further behind. Ferraço’s approval ratings near 77% reflect sustained voter support for the current administration’s performance. Pazolini remains the clearest challenger as Vitória mayor, though gaps persist in head-to-head and multi-candidate tests. The October election timeline and ongoing campaign dynamics, including potential alliances, continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market consensus.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
交易量
$13,514結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage following his April 2026 swearing-in after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, combined with consistent leads in recent polls such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys from May through July. These show Ferraço at 37–41% in first-round scenarios against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in the low-to-mid 30s, with other names trailing further behind. Ferraço’s approval ratings near 77% reflect sustained voter support for the current administration’s performance. Pazolini remains the clearest challenger as Vitória mayor, though gaps persist in head-to-head and multi-candidate tests. The October election timeline and ongoing campaign dynamics, including potential alliances, continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market consensus.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$13,514結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) holds the leading position in trader pricing for the 2026 Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage following his April 2026 swearing-in after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, combined with consistent leads in recent polls such as Real Time Big Data and Quaest surveys from May through July. These show Ferraço at 37–41% in first-round scenarios against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) in the low-to-mid 30s, with other names trailing further behind. Ferraço’s approval ratings near 77% reflect sustained voter support for the current administration’s performance. Pazolini remains the clearest challenger as Vitória mayor, though gaps persist in head-to-head and multi-candidate tests. The October election timeline and ongoing campaign dynamics, including potential alliances, continue to shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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