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icon for 帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家

icon for 帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家
選舉·巴西

帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家

Lucas Ribeiro 63%

西塞羅·盧塞納 24%

埃弗拉因·菲略 6%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo <1%

Polymarket

$43,818 交易量

Lucas Ribeiro 63%

西塞羅·盧塞納 24%

埃弗拉因·菲略 6%

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo <1%

Polymarket

$43,818 交易量

icon for Lucas Ribeiro

Lucas Ribeiro

$8,452 交易量

63%

icon for 西塞羅·盧塞納

西塞羅·盧塞納

$14,484 交易量

24%

icon for 埃弗拉因·菲略

埃弗拉因·菲略

$12,999 交易量

6%

icon for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

$2,188 交易量

1%

icon for 弗拉維奧·盧西奧

弗拉維奧·盧西奧

$648 交易量

1%

icon for Nilvan Ferreira

Nilvan Ferreira

$645 交易量

<1%

icon for 羅梅羅·羅德里格斯

羅梅羅·羅德里格斯

$1,276 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬塞洛·奎羅加

馬塞洛·奎羅加

$3,126 交易量

<1%

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro holds the lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage after assuming office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation. Recent state polls show him ahead of main challenger Cícero Lucena (MDB), the former João Pessoa mayor, with Efraim Filho (PL) and others trailing. Ongoing candidate debates and fluctuating polling averages highlight a competitive field, while national dynamics including President Lula’s dual-endorsement approach add layers of alliance uncertainty. The first-round vote on October 4 keeps probabilities sensitive to coalition shifts and late-campaign developments that could consolidate or fragment support.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$43,818
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro holds the lead in trader consensus for the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race due to his incumbency advantage after assuming office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation. Recent state polls show him ahead of main challenger Cícero Lucena (MDB), the former João Pessoa mayor, with Efraim Filho (PL) and others trailing. Ongoing candidate debates and fluctuating polling averages highlight a competitive field, while national dynamics including President Lula’s dual-endorsement approach add layers of alliance uncertainty. The first-round vote on October 4 keeps probabilities sensitive to coalition shifts and late-campaign developments that could consolidate or fragment support.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$43,818
結束日期
2026-10-05
市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lucas Ribeiro" at 63%, followed by "西塞羅·盧塞納" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 63¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家" has generated $43.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家" is "Lucas Ribeiro" at 63%, meaning the market assigns a 63% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "西塞羅·盧塞納" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "帕拉伊巴州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.