**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$501,914 交易量
$501,914 交易量
2026-06-22
伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅
是
阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉
否
$501,914 交易量
$501,914 交易量
2026-06-22
伊萬·塞佩達·卡斯特羅
$220,625 交易量
是
阿貝拉多·德拉·埃斯普里耶拉
$281,289 交易量
否
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市場開放時間： Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
交易量
$501,914結束日期
2026-06-22市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$501,914結束日期
2026-06-22市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
**Abelardo de la Espriella holds a trader edge (56.5%) over Iván Cepeda Castro (45.5%) for most votes from Bogotá in the June 21 runoff, reflecting the right-wing outsider’s stronger national momentum after leading the first round 43.7%–40.9%.** Bogotá favored Cepeda in the first round (41.7%–37.7%), consistent with its urban, center-left tilt, yet de la Espriella’s gains among centrist and evangelical voters, plus endorsement momentum from third-place finisher Paloma Valencia, have shifted implied probabilities. The race remains tight because both candidates are consolidating polarized bases in a high-turnout environment, with undecided centrist blocs and coalition signals from figures like Sergio Fajardo still fluid. Recent campaign adjustments—Cepeda moderating on constitutional assembly proposals to court moderates, and de la Espriella emphasizing security and economic rupture—keep Bogotá competitive. Late developments such as Bogotá-specific polling shifts, turnout patterns in the capital, or last-minute endorsements before June 21 could widen the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions