Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 15°C in Munich on March 25, backed by unified forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing a peak of 14–16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates confirm stable upper-air patterns with minimal model divergence, elevating confidence amid typical late-March variability where averages hover around 11°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance from Munich Airport observations. Scenarios challenging this include a sudden nocturnal cold advection or localized inversions trimming the high by 1–2°C, though low-probability given current geopotential height fields; DWD's final daily report will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 25 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 25 марта?
15°C 100.0%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$103,411 Объем
$103,411 Объем
9°C или ниже
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Да
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C или выше
Нет
15°C 100.0%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$103,411 Объем
$103,411 Объем
9°C или ниже
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Да
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 15°C in Munich on March 25, backed by unified forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble models showing a peak of 14–16°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly airflow and clear skies. Recent 24-hour updates confirm stable upper-air patterns with minimal model divergence, elevating confidence amid typical late-March variability where averages hover around 11°C. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with official guidance from Munich Airport observations. Scenarios challenging this include a sudden nocturnal cold advection or localized inversions trimming the high by 1–2°C, though low-probability given current geopotential height fields; DWD's final daily report will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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