Skip to main content

LegislaçãO previsões e probabilidades

·
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in May?

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in May?

97%

8+

$6.3K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

91%

DEFIANCE Act

$106K Vol.

$16.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

23%

December 31

$432K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

5

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

15%

$604 Vol.

$37 Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

3%

June 30

$65.1K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

2

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

8%

$168K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

20

Ends em 7 meses

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

10%

$18.2K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

97%

$41.7K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?

6%

$54 Vol.

$593 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

59%

$1M Vol.

$59.6K Liq.

108

Ends em 7 meses

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

13%

$744 Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

12%

$99.3K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by...?

88%

September 30

$53.5K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

9%

$309K Vol.

$50.5K today

$34.4K Liq.

10

Ends em 7 meses

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

66%

June 30

$253K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

20

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

5%

$510 Vol.

$125 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

59%

Likud

$9.4K Vol.

$67.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

2%

$13.1K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 23 horas

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$560K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

29

Ends há 2 meses

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

35%

November 2

$9.7K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like LegislaçãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 121 active markets for LegislaçãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US military draft authorized in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 59% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on LegislaçãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.