Trump administration has implemented sweeping tariffs, including the "Liberation Day" measures announced on April 2, generating revenue but falling short of projections needed to fund a proposed $2,000 tariff dividend check per eligible household—estimated costs exceed $500 billion while tariffs yield far less. Despite President Trump's recent statements exploring executive action without Congress, legal experts highlight constitutional barriers under the power of the purse, with Democratic lawsuits and fiscal conservative opposition in the Republican-led Congress stalling progress; a March bill for tariff rebates remains unpassed. Traders' 88% "No" consensus reflects no formal executive order or legislation by early April, low revenue feasibility, and prior markets resolving against earlier deadlines, though midterms pressure or court rulings could shift odds before June 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSim
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
Sim
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump administration has implemented sweeping tariffs, including the "Liberation Day" measures announced on April 2, generating revenue but falling short of projections needed to fund a proposed $2,000 tariff dividend check per eligible household—estimated costs exceed $500 billion while tariffs yield far less. Despite President Trump's recent statements exploring executive action without Congress, legal experts highlight constitutional barriers under the power of the purse, with Democratic lawsuits and fiscal conservative opposition in the Republican-led Congress stalling progress; a March bill for tariff rebates remains unpassed. Traders' 88% "No" consensus reflects no formal executive order or legislation by early April, low revenue feasibility, and prior markets resolving against earlier deadlines, though midterms pressure or court rulings could shift odds before June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 17, 2025, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$8,824Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump administration has implemented sweeping tariffs, including the "Liberation Day" measures announced on April 2, generating revenue but falling short of projections needed to fund a proposed $2,000 tariff dividend check per eligible household—estimated costs exceed $500 billion while tariffs yield far less. Despite President Trump's recent statements exploring executive action without Congress, legal experts highlight constitutional barriers under the power of the purse, with Democratic lawsuits and fiscal conservative opposition in the Republican-led Congress stalling progress; a March bill for tariff rebates remains unpassed. Traders' 88% "No" consensus reflects no formal executive order or legislation by early April, low revenue feasibility, and prior markets resolving against earlier deadlines, though midterms pressure or court rulings could shift odds before June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.
A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$8,824Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration has implemented sweeping tariffs, including the "Liberation Day" measures announced on April 2, generating revenue but falling short of projections needed to fund a proposed $2,000 tariff dividend check per eligible household—estimated costs exceed $500 billion while tariffs yield far less. Despite President Trump's recent statements exploring executive action without Congress, legal experts highlight constitutional barriers under the power of the purse, with Democratic lawsuits and fiscal conservative opposition in the Republican-led Congress stalling progress; a March bill for tariff rebates remains unpassed. Traders' 88% "No" consensus reflects no formal executive order or legislation by early April, low revenue feasibility, and prior markets resolving against earlier deadlines, though midterms pressure or court rulings could shift odds before June 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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