President Trump's March 29 Truth Social post warning Iran of retaliation twenty times harder for any Strait of Hormuz oil disruptions underscores escalating US military operations there, driving trader attention to foreign policy phrases like "Khamenei" or "embargo" amid IRGC retorts and conflicting White House messaging on conflict progress. His Air Force One press gaggles, remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative summit, and National Vietnam War Veterans Day message, alongside agriculture highlights like farmer loan guarantees and ethanol boosts, shape rhetoric expectations. With low weekend visibility and his return to executive time at the White House on March 30, traders price in limited near-term speeches, monitoring Truth Social for signature terms through April 5 resolution; breaking Iran developments or policy announcements could shift consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado$504,636 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
<1%
Kaitlan Collins
1%
Eat our Lunch
<1%
Ethanol
1%
Embargo
<1%
Finish the Job
8%
Chuck Norris
10%
$504,636 Vol.
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
<1%
Kaitlan Collins
1%
Eat our Lunch
<1%
Ethanol
1%
Embargo
<1%
Finish the Job
8%
Chuck Norris
10%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's March 29 Truth Social post warning Iran of retaliation twenty times harder for any Strait of Hormuz oil disruptions underscores escalating US military operations there, driving trader attention to foreign policy phrases like "Khamenei" or "embargo" amid IRGC retorts and conflicting White House messaging on conflict progress. His Air Force One press gaggles, remarks at the Saudi Future Investment Initiative summit, and National Vietnam War Veterans Day message, alongside agriculture highlights like farmer loan guarantees and ethanol boosts, shape rhetoric expectations. With low weekend visibility and his return to executive time at the White House on March 30, traders price in limited near-term speeches, monitoring Truth Social for signature terms through April 5 resolution; breaking Iran developments or policy announcements could shift consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions