Market icon
Política·Mercados De Tweets

Khamenei # publica de 27 de março a 3 de abril de 2026?

Market icon
Política·Mercados De Tweets

Khamenei # publica de 27 de março a 3 de abril de 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
2
Tempo restante
TWEETS
2
Tempo restante

<20 96.2%

60-79 2.7%

20-39 1.9%

40-59 1.1%

Polymarket

$18,976 Vol.

<20 96.2%

60-79 2.7%

20-39 1.9%

40-59 1.1%

Polymarket

$18,976 Vol.

<20

$7,175 Vol.

92%

20-39

$2,023 Vol.

2%

40-59

$1,130 Vol.

1%

60-79

$1,671 Vol.

3%

80-99

$1,011 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$896 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$979 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$915 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$1,069 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$1,069 Vol.

<1%

200+

$1,039 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's martyrdom on February 28 amid US-Israeli strikes, his official X account @khamenei_ir has posted archival statements sparingly, averaging 2-3 per week—10 total from March 1-28—often repurposed for current geopolitical tensions like US interference (#NoKings), Resistance forces, and Hezbollah resilience. Recent activity includes four posts March 26-28, aligning with episodic commentary during Iran's leadership transition. This drives 91.8% trader consensus for under 20 posts March 27-April 3. Challenges would need a surge from succession announcements, escalation in Yemen-Lebanon-Iraq fronts, or crisis diplomacy prompting daily volume unseen since pre-martyrdom.

Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's martyrdom on February 28 amid US-Israeli strikes, his official X account @khamenei_ir has posted archival statements sparingly, averaging 2-3 per week—10 total from March 1-28—often repurposed for current geopolitical tensions like US interference (#NoKings), Resistance forces, and Hezbollah resilience. Recent activity includes four posts March 26-28, aligning with episodic commentary during Iran's leadership transition. This drives 91.8% trader consensus for under 20 posts March 27-April 3. Challenges would need a surge from succession announcements, escalation in Yemen-Lebanon-Iraq fronts, or crisis diplomacy prompting daily volume unseen since pre-martyrdom.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's martyrdom on February 28 amid US-Israeli strikes, his official X account @khamenei_ir has posted archival statements sparingly, averaging 2-3 per week—10 total from March 1-28—often repurposed for current geopolitical tensions like US interference (#NoKings), Resistance forces, and Hezbollah resilience. Recent activity includes four posts March 26-28, aligning with episodic commentary during Iran's leadership transition. This drives 91.8% trader consensus for under 20 posts March 27-April 3. Challenges would need a surge from succession announcements, escalation in Yemen-Lebanon-Iraq fronts, or crisis diplomacy prompting daily volume unseen since pre-martyrdom.

Following Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei's martyrdom on February 28 amid US-Israeli strikes, his official X account @khamenei_ir has posted archival statements sparingly, averaging 2-3 per week—10 total from March 1-28—often repurposed for current geopolitical tensions like US interference (#NoKings), Resistance forces, and Hezbollah resilience. Recent activity includes four posts March 26-28, aligning with episodic commentary during Iran's leadership transition. This drives 91.8% trader consensus for under 20 posts March 27-April 3. Challenges would need a surge from succession announcements, escalation in Yemen-Lebanon-Iraq fronts, or crisis diplomacy prompting daily volume unseen since pre-martyrdom.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # publica de 27 de março a 3 de abril de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<20" at 92%, followed by "60-79" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Khamenei # publica de 27 de março a 3 de abril de 2026?" has generated $19K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Khamenei # publica de 27 de março a 3 de abril de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # publica de 27 de março a 3 de abril de 2026?" is "<20" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "60-79" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # publica de 27 de março a 3 de abril de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.