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The Holdovers predictions & odds

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Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

89%

Anthropic

$9M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

1%

$21M Vol.

$654K today

$892K Liq.

1

Ends in 13 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

13%

December 31

$40M Vol.

$280K today

$1M Liq.

1,271

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

40%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$9M Vol.

$277K today

$1M Liq.

255

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

17%

$18M Vol.

$240K today

$402K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

29%

$29M Vol.

$228K today

$753K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

5%

$40M Vol.

$164K today

$659K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

"In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office

"In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office

97%

<3.5m

$115K Vol.

$83.1K today

$48.9K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Who will die in The Boys: Season 5?

Who will die in The Boys: Season 5?

100%

Frenchie

$672K Vol.

$69.8K today

$57.7K Liq.

183

Ends in 2 days

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

78%

$1M Vol.

$63.2K today

$8.1K Liq.

274

Ends in 2 months

NBA Coach of the Year Winner

NBA Coach of the Year Winner

96%

Joe Mazzulla

$2M Vol.

$61.2K Liq.

18

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

90%

Anthropic

$174K Vol.

$99.9K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

91%

Anthropic

$608K Vol.

$232K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

5%

UAE

$1M Vol.

$300K Liq.

14

Ends in 13 days

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

22%

$2M Vol.

$76.2K Liq.

56

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

79%

Democratic Party

$6M Vol.

$622K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

47%

No Meeting by June 30

$6M Vol.

$389K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

34%

$38.9K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 days

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

12%

$23.4K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

"The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office

"The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office

100%

<23m

$49.3K Vol.

$45.8K Liq.

Ends in about 19 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like The Holdovers.

Polymarket currently hosts 12851 active markets for The Holdovers that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $186.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on The Holdovers predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.