Skip to main content
Market icon

Survivor 50 Winner

Market icon

Survivor 50 Winner

Aubry Bracco 69%

Cirie Fields 18.4%

Rizo Velovic 4.4%

Jonathan Young 3.4%

Polymarket

$1,108,174 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 69%

Cirie Fields 18.4%

Rizo Velovic 4.4%

Jonathan Young 3.4%

Polymarket

$1,108,174 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$139,741 Vol.

69%

Cirie Fields

$38,561 Vol.

18%

Rizo Velovic

$82,819 Vol.

4%

Jonathan Young

$65,347 Vol.

3%

Joe Hunter

$83,395 Vol.

3%

Ozzy Lusth

$56,757 Vol.

1%

Christian Hubicki

$60,315 Vol.

1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$38,032 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$27,304 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$30,703 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$52,850 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$42,640 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$25,508 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$38,396 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$28,049 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$33,612 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$30,603 Vol.

<1%

Dee Valladares

$74,417 Vol.

<1%

Rick Devens

$37,187 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$35,223 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$34,298 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$21,875 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$23,122 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$7,727 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco commands 68.5% implied probability as Survivor 50 frontrunner after Episode 8's historic Double Duo twist booted Coach Wade and Chrissy Hofbeck, thinning physical threats and elevating strategic players. Paired with Rick Devens, Aubry dodged elimination thanks to his fake idol bluff diverting votes, underscoring her alliance savvy and awareness from past seasons like Kaôh Rōng. Cirie Fields, at 19%, solidified her contender status by conquering Exile Island for voting rights and swaying Ozzy Lusth to target the duo, leveraging her unmatched social game. With 11 players left—including Rizo Velovic (4.4%) and Jonathan Young (3.4%)—next immunity challenges and blindsides could shift momentum in this all-returnees milestone season.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,108,174
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco commands 68.5% implied probability as Survivor 50 frontrunner after Episode 8's historic Double Duo twist booted Coach Wade and Chrissy Hofbeck, thinning physical threats and elevating strategic players. Paired with Rick Devens, Aubry dodged elimination thanks to his fake idol bluff diverting votes, underscoring her alliance savvy and awareness from past seasons like Kaôh Rōng. Cirie Fields, at 19%, solidified her contender status by conquering Exile Island for voting rights and swaying Ozzy Lusth to target the duo, leveraging her unmatched social game. With 11 players left—including Rizo Velovic (4.4%) and Jonathan Young (3.4%)—next immunity challenges and blindsides could shift momentum in this all-returnees milestone season.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,108,174
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Survivor 50 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 69%, followed by "Cirie Fields" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Survivor 50 Winner" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Survivor 50 Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Survivor 50 Winner" is "Aubry Bracco" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cirie Fields" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Survivor 50 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.