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Survivor 50 Winner

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Survivor 50 Winner

Aubry Bracco 73%

Cirie Fields 17.1%

Joe Hunter 4.2%

Rizo Velovic 3.2%

Polymarket

$1,073,320 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 73%

Cirie Fields 17.1%

Joe Hunter 4.2%

Rizo Velovic 3.2%

Polymarket

$1,073,320 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$137,361 Vol.

73%

Cirie Fields

$38,096 Vol.

17%

Joe Hunter

$72,948 Vol.

4%

Rizo Velovic

$82,254 Vol.

3%

Jonathan Young

$65,044 Vol.

2%

Christian Hubicki

$59,734 Vol.

1%

Ozzy Lusth

$55,206 Vol.

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$34,727 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$27,124 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$30,406 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$51,999 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$42,008 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$25,187 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$37,934 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$25,089 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$33,332 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$29,076 Vol.

<1%

Dee Valladares

$73,250 Vol.

<1%

Rick Devens

$32,645 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$32,879 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$34,297 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$21,874 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$23,122 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$7,727 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco commands a dominant 72.5% implied probability as Survivor 50's frontrunner, bolstered by her masterful under-the-radar social game and survival through the chaotic Blood Moon triple elimination in episode 6, which purged threats like Colby Donaldson, Genevieve Mushaluk, and Kamilla Karthigesu. Her trader consensus solidified further after episode 7's massive 17-player Tribal Council boot of recent winner Dee Valladares on April 8, positioning Aubry in the top 12 with key alliances amid old-school vs. new-school tensions. Cirie Fields trails at 17.2% on her legendary strategic pedigree and enduring jury appeal, while longshots like Joe Hunter and Rizo Velovic linger on challenge prowess and niche loyalties. With episode 8's teased pairing twist and potential double boot looming Wednesday, volatility remains high in this all-stars milestone season.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,073,320
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco commands a dominant 72.5% implied probability as Survivor 50's frontrunner, bolstered by her masterful under-the-radar social game and survival through the chaotic Blood Moon triple elimination in episode 6, which purged threats like Colby Donaldson, Genevieve Mushaluk, and Kamilla Karthigesu. Her trader consensus solidified further after episode 7's massive 17-player Tribal Council boot of recent winner Dee Valladares on April 8, positioning Aubry in the top 12 with key alliances amid old-school vs. new-school tensions. Cirie Fields trails at 17.2% on her legendary strategic pedigree and enduring jury appeal, while longshots like Joe Hunter and Rizo Velovic linger on challenge prowess and niche loyalties. With episode 8's teased pairing twist and potential double boot looming Wednesday, volatility remains high in this all-stars milestone season.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,073,320
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Survivor 50 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 73%, followed by "Cirie Fields" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Survivor 50 Winner" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Survivor 50 Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Survivor 50 Winner" is "Aubry Bracco" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cirie Fields" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Survivor 50 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.