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Taiwan Election predictions & odds

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2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

82%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$120K Vol.

$51.6K Liq.

34

Ends in 6 months

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

1%

$1M Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

7%

$50.3K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

10%

$2M Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

51%

Labour

$93 Vol.

$144 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

44%

Labour 15%+

$627 Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

<1%

$11M Vol.

$181K today

$400K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

7%

$22.6K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

6%

$35M Vol.

$193K today

$525K Liq.

73

Ends in 7 months

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

16%

$712K Vol.

$136K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

15%

December 31

$130K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

37%

National Party

$2.9K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

<1%

$2M Vol.

$44.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

28%

84%+

$614 Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

57%

New Zealand First Party

$2.0K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

48%

35-39

$757 Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

45%

40-44

$439 Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

55%

Labour Party

$4.3K Vol.

$51.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

Prosperity

$13.6K Vol.

$33.3K Liq.

7

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

18%

$106K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Taiwan Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Taiwan Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $51.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Taiwan Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.