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Taiwan Election predictions & odds

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2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

83%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$111K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

31

Ends in 7 months

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

9%

$30.6K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

12%

$2M Vol.

$25.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

57%

Labour

$44 Vol.

$518 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

5%

$288 Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner

Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner

78%

DISY

$29.7K Vol.

$83.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 11 days

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

44%

Labour 0-5%

$0 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

2%

$8M Vol.

$108K today

$64.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

18%

$540K Vol.

$97.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

73

Ends in 8 months

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

18%

December 31

$124K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$31.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Malta Parliamentary Election Winner

Malta Parliamentary Election Winner

93%

Labour Party

$53.2K Vol.

$90.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 17 days

Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Malta Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

45%

AD+PD

$41.9K Vol.

$98.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

Ethiopia Parliamentary Election Winner

96%

Prosperity

$8.8K Vol.

$55.1K Liq.

7

Ends in 19 days

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

8%

$28.8K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

3

Ends in about 2 months

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

Russia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

26%

<47%

$558 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

54%

25-29

$1.2K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

51

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

59%

Likud

$1.7K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Taiwan Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Taiwan Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $37.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Ukraine election held by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Taiwan Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.