Market icon
World·China

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

Market icon
World·China

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,706 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30

$0 Vol.

11%

December 31

$1,706 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan passed a no-confidence motion against Premier Cho Jung-tai on October 6, 2024, by a 60-50 vote, driven by disputes over aggressive budget reviews, recall bills, and proposed reforms seen as overreach by the ruling DPP. President Lai Ching-te must now decide within 10 days—by October 16—whether to accept the cabinet's resignation, removing Cho, or dissolve the legislature for snap elections. Protests in Taipei have drawn tens of thousands supporting the government, while KMT and TPP lawmakers demand accountability. Cho remains in office pending Lai's announcement, with political gridlock heightening risks of early elections or a new premier appointment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,706
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 13, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan passed a no-confidence motion against Premier Cho Jung-tai on October 6, 2024, by a 60-50 vote, driven by disputes over aggressive budget reviews, recall bills, and proposed reforms seen as overreach by the ruling DPP. President Lai Ching-te must now decide within 10 days—by October 16—whether to accept the cabinet's resignation, removing Cho, or dissolve the legislature for snap elections. Protests in Taipei have drawn tens of thousands supporting the government, while KMT and TPP lawmakers demand accountability. Cho remains in office pending Lai's announcement, with political gridlock heightening risks of early elections or a new premier appointment.

Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan passed a no-confidence motion against Premier Cho Jung-tai on October 6, 2024, by a 60-50 vote, driven by disputes over aggressive budget reviews, recall bills, and proposed reforms seen as overreach by the ruling DPP. President Lai Ching-te must now decide within 10 days—by October 16—whether to accept the cabinet's resignation, removing Cho, or dissolve the legislature for snap elections. Protests in Taipei have drawn tens of thousands supporting the government, while KMT and TPP lawmakers demand accountability. Cho remains in office pending Lai's announcement, with political gridlock heightening risks of early elections or a new premier appointment.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 40%, followed by "June 30" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" is "December 31" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.