Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

12%

$37.0K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

8

Ends in about 1 year

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Skyscraper Climb·SpaceX

Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?

53%

Goldman Sachs

$860K Vol.

$97.1K today

$83.0K Liq.

12

Ends in almost 2 years

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Skyscraper Climb·SpaceX

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

44%

$X

$3M Vol.

$79.4K Liq.

138

Ends in almost 2 years

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Skyscraper Climb·SpaceX

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

86%

SpaceX

$1M Vol.

$228K Liq.

8

Ends in 10 months

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
Skyscraper Climb·Weather

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

44%

<4m sq km

$24.5K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

100%

1400

$182K Vol.

$32.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

NASA Artemis II
Skyscraper Climb·SpaceX

NASA Artemis II

67%

April 30

$624K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

91

Ends in 14 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

40%

2

$2M Vol.

$123K Liq.

19

Ends in 10 months

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Skyscraper Climb·Science

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

37%

1.15–1.19ºC

$124K Vol.

$20.4K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Skyscraper Climb·SpaceX

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

18%

$137K Vol.

$13.4K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

How many Tornadoes in the US in March?

95%

150+

$68.0K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Precipitation in Seattle in March?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

41%

6-7"

$72.8K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

34%

8+

$1M Vol.

$37.6K Liq.

21

Ends in 3 months

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Skyscraper Climb·SpaceX

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

41%

5-6

$317K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

48%

1

$571K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Precipitation in NYC in March?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

Precipitation in NYC in March?

39%

4-5"

$58.1K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

99%

↑2k

$7M Vol.

$79.2K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

26%

11–13

$1M Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
Skyscraper Climb·SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)

49%

2.0T+

$338K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

8

Ends in almost 2 years

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Skyscraper Climb·Science

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

76%

$73.7K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Skyscraper Climb.

Polymarket currently hosts 148 active markets for Skyscraper Climb that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑1k. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Skyscraper Climb predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.