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New Pope predictions & odds

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MLB: Next Phillies Manager

MLB: Next Phillies Manager

19%

Will Venable

$321K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

MLB: Next Red Sox Manager

28%

Chad Tracy

$3.8K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

UFC: Who will Movsar Evloev fight next?

UFC: Who will Movsar Evloev fight next?

51%

Diego Lopes

$13 Vol.

$8 Liq.

Who will Alexander Volkanovski fight next?

Who will Alexander Volkanovski fight next?

88%

Movsar Evloev

$90.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

93%

Andy Burnham

$11M Vol.

$337K today

$2M Liq.

108

Ends in 6 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

77%

PL

$257K Vol.

$90.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 4 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

81%

PL

$14.6K Vol.

$81.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 4 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

69%

Starmer - UK PM

$1M Vol.

$274K today

$499K Liq.

14

Ends in 6 months

Power Slap 20: Andrew Provost vs. Anthony Blackburn (Fight 6)

Power Slap 20: Andrew Provost vs. Anthony Blackburn (Fight 6)

100%

Andrew Provost

$1.6K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

92%

No Bond chosen

$3M Vol.

$85.1K Liq.

29

Ends in 10 days

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

19%

$11.6K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

3

Ends in over 2 years

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

17%

Alexandru Nazare

$2M Vol.

$450K Liq.

252

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$103M Vol.

$299K today

$10M Liq.

564

Ends in 10 months

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

44%

Rafael Grossi

$70.1K Vol.

$48.8K Liq.

5

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

93%

Andy Burnham

$47.0K Vol.

$76.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

85%

Religious Zionism

$2 Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

46%

John Thune

$81.6K Vol.

$214K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

74%

Jordan Bardella

$4.3K Vol.

$94.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 10 months

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%

JD Vance

$634M Vol.

$1M today

$39M Liq.

969

Ends in over 2 years

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

73%

Magdalena Andersson

$2M Vol.

$315K Liq.

14

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for New Pope that lets you track or trade on predictions like “MLB: Next Phillies Manager”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $757.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Power Slap 20: Andrew Provost vs. Anthony Blackburn (Fight 6)”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 20% chance to JD Vance. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on New Pope predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.