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United Nations predictions & odds

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Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

53%

Rafael Grossi

$117K Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

56%

Rafael Grossi

$50.4K Vol.

$46.2K Liq.

5

António Guterres out by December 31?

António Guterres out by December 31?

25%

$1.6K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

13%

$130K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

16%

May 31

$134K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

10

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

9%

$50.0K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

70%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

21%

$14.0K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

6%

$118K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

11%

December 31, 2026

$236K Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

15

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?

61%

December 31, 2026

$29.5K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

24

Ends in 8 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

55%

↓ 38

$8.8K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

7%

June 30

$612K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

6%

$73.0K Vol.

$18.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

10%

$12.9K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

63%

↓ $2.60

$104K Vol.

$63.7K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by...?

14%

May 31

$3.4K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

8%

Yulia Navalnaya

$16M Vol.

$80.2K today

$1M Liq.

167

Ends in 5 months

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

14%

$307K Vol.

$23.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

49%

60-79

$4.2K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 115 active markets for United Nations that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Secretary-General of the United Nations”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Russia invade another country in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 8% chance to Yulia Navalnaya. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United Nations predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.