Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

29%

Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$365 Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

3

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

61%

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$956K Vol.

$306K today

$154K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

<1%

$10M Vol.

$296K today

$258K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

10%

$14M Vol.

$271K today

$533K Liq.

71

Ends in 9 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

49%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$5M Vol.

$146K today

$844K Liq.

66

Ends in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

4%

$2M Vol.

$113K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

8%

$88.0K Vol.

$174K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

15%

$823K Vol.

$77.2K Liq.

27

Ends in 9 months

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?

30%

$22.0K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

9%

$14.9K Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

25%

$83.5K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

21%

$150K Vol.

$208K Liq.

Ends in almost 2 years

North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 15?

65%

$742 Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

89%

March 31

$22.4K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

44%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

13%

$51.2K Vol.

$26.2K Liq.

7

Ends in 9 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?

How many different countries will Israel strike in March?

78%

3

$275K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

2026 FIFA World Cup: Which countries qualify?

75%

Italy

$1M Vol.

$196K today

$121K Liq.

52

Ends in 15 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

27%

December 31, 2026

$429K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

27

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

19%

December 31, 2026

$213K Vol.

$22.4K Liq.

13

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like United Nations.

Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for United Nations that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $36.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran leader end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on United Nations predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.