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UN predictions & odds

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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

6%

$75.4K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

53%

Rafael Grossi

$57.4K Vol.

$45.9K Liq.

5

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

87%

Iran

$393K Vol.

$289K today

$140K Liq.

25

Ends in 1 day

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

43%

Petro - Colombia President

$277K Vol.

$154K today

$281K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Who will Trump speak to in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$590K Vol.

$71.2K today

$155K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

94%

Choo Mi-ae

$4M Vol.

$482K Liq.

8

Ends in 20 days

Who will Trump meet with in May?

Who will Trump meet with in May?

100%

Xi Jinping

$353K Vol.

$96.8K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

100%

Xi Jinping

$477K Vol.

$183K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

31%

JV

$73.1K Vol.

$39.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

Anime Awards: Best Anime Ending Sequence Winner

Anime Awards: Best Anime Ending Sequence Winner

38%

"I" by BUMP OF CHICKEN (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON)

$747 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union

Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union

40%

Philadelphia Union

$101K Vol.

$79.7K today

$978K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

Next Manchester United manager?

Next Manchester United manager?

98%

Michael Carrick

$817K Vol.

$52.4K Liq.

240

Ends in 8 months

Newcastle United FC vs. PSV - More Markets

Newcastle United FC vs. PSV - More Markets

-

$357K Vol.

Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group D

Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group D

100%

ReThink

$11.1K Vol.

France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

60%

Canceled

$45.4K Vol.

$105K Liq.

8

Ends in 5 months

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Galorys vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage

51%

Galorys

$4.5K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC

D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC

40%

Chicago Fire FC

$3.0K Vol.

$954K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

<1%

Reform

$244K Vol.

$3M Liq.

43

Longest applause at State of the Union?

Longest applause at State of the Union?

-

$2.0K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC

Minnesota United FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC

56%

Minnesota United FC

$6.9K Vol.

$973K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like UN.

Polymarket currently hosts 374 active markets for UN that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group D”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to Choo Mi-ae. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on UN predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.