Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 56 percent in the UN Secretary-General selection due to his established role as IAEA Director General and sustained engagement with the five permanent Security Council members on nuclear non-proliferation and crisis diplomacy. The April 2026 interactive dialogues allowed all four candidates to present visions before the General Assembly, highlighting Grossi’s pragmatic approach alongside Rebeca Grynspan’s emphasis on development and reform after her March nomination by Costa Rica and temporary step-back from UNCTAD duties. Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall, nominated earlier in 2026 by Latin American and African states respectively, bring presidential and human-rights experience but trail as the process moves toward Security Council consultations and a potential recommendation later this year. The field remains open pending further diplomatic positioning and any late entries ahead of the 2027 term start.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rafael Grossi 56%
Rebeca Grynspan 29%
Michelle Bachelet 8.3%
Macky Sall 7.1%
$119,173 Vol.
$119,173 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Rafael Grossi
56%
Rebeca Grynspan
29%
Michelle Bachelet
8%
Macky Sall
7%
Rafael Grossi 56%
Rebeca Grynspan 29%
Michelle Bachelet 8.3%
Macky Sall 7.1%
$119,173 Vol.
$119,173 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Rafael Grossi
$5,966 Vol.
56%
Rebeca Grynspan
$1,917 Vol.
29%
Michelle Bachelet
$1,734 Vol.
8%
Macky Sall
$109,557 Vol.
7%
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 56 percent in the UN Secretary-General selection due to his established role as IAEA Director General and sustained engagement with the five permanent Security Council members on nuclear non-proliferation and crisis diplomacy. The April 2026 interactive dialogues allowed all four candidates to present visions before the General Assembly, highlighting Grossi’s pragmatic approach alongside Rebeca Grynspan’s emphasis on development and reform after her March nomination by Costa Rica and temporary step-back from UNCTAD duties. Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall, nominated earlier in 2026 by Latin American and African states respectively, bring presidential and human-rights experience but trail as the process moves toward Security Council consultations and a potential recommendation later this year. The field remains open pending further diplomatic positioning and any late entries ahead of the 2027 term start.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Volume
$119,173End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 56 percent in the UN Secretary-General selection due to his established role as IAEA Director General and sustained engagement with the five permanent Security Council members on nuclear non-proliferation and crisis diplomacy. The April 2026 interactive dialogues allowed all four candidates to present visions before the General Assembly, highlighting Grossi’s pragmatic approach alongside Rebeca Grynspan’s emphasis on development and reform after her March nomination by Costa Rica and temporary step-back from UNCTAD duties. Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall, nominated earlier in 2026 by Latin American and African states respectively, bring presidential and human-rights experience but trail as the process moves toward Security Council consultations and a potential recommendation later this year. The field remains open pending further diplomatic positioning and any late entries ahead of the 2027 term start.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$119,173End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Grossi leads trader consensus at 56 percent in the UN Secretary-General selection due to his established role as IAEA Director General and sustained engagement with the five permanent Security Council members on nuclear non-proliferation and crisis diplomacy. The April 2026 interactive dialogues allowed all four candidates to present visions before the General Assembly, highlighting Grossi’s pragmatic approach alongside Rebeca Grynspan’s emphasis on development and reform after her March nomination by Costa Rica and temporary step-back from UNCTAD duties. Michelle Bachelet and Macky Sall, nominated earlier in 2026 by Latin American and African states respectively, bring presidential and human-rights experience but trail as the process moves toward Security Council consultations and a potential recommendation later this year. The field remains open pending further diplomatic positioning and any late entries ahead of the 2027 term start.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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