Elections 2024 predictions & odds

Elections·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$414K Vol.

$210K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

99%

Florida

$414K Vol.

$210K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Global Elections

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$2M Vol.

$600K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

66%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$600K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Elections·Depec US Elections

How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

$29.3K Vol.

$68.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

61%

$29.3K Vol.

$68.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Politics·Trump

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

$14.4K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

98%

$14.4K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·US Election

Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

$1.1K Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

22%

$1.1K Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Politics·Trump

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$14.7K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

98%

$14.7K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Governor Races

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

$8.6K Vol.

$118 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

66%

$8.6K Vol.

$118 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·House Elections

FL-24 House Election Winner

$34.1K Vol.

$60.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

96%

Oliver Gilbert (D)

$34.1K Vol.

$60.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·French Election

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$98.0K Vol.

$116K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

60%

François Hollande

$98.0K Vol.

$116K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Elections·House Elections

TX-24 House Election Winner

$61.9K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

90%

Beth Van Duyne (R)

$61.9K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·House Elections

CA-24 House Election Winner

$51.1K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

98%

Salud Carbajal (D)

$51.1K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Gretchen Whitmer

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

$13.9K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

22%

$13.9K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Elections·House Elections

NY-24 House Election Winner

$22.7K Vol.

$38.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

93%

Claudia Tenney (R)

$22.7K Vol.

$38.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

$1B Vol.

$386K today

$76M Liq.

825

Ends in about 2 years

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1B Vol.

$386K today

$76M Liq.

825

Ends in about 2 years

Elections·House Elections

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?

$727 Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

96%

$727 Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·House Elections

IL-04 House Election Winner

$61.7K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

96%

Patty Garcia (D)

$61.7K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Midterms

Blue tsunami in 2026?

$44.2K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

54%

$44.2K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$708M Vol.

$325K today

$60M Liq.

1,036

Ends in over 2 years

21%

JD Vance

$708M Vol.

$325K today

$60M Liq.

1,036

Ends in over 2 years

Elections·Depec US Elections

Closest Governor's Race?

$20.1K Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

16%

Ohio

$20.1K Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·House Elections

PA-04 House Election Winner

$21.5K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

95%

Madeleine Dean (D)

$21.5K Vol.

$32.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

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Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections 2024.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Elections 2024 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections 2024 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Elections 2024 shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Elections 2024 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

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Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Elections 2024 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Elections 2024 predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

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How do Elections 2024 markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Elections 2024 prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Elections 2024 predictions?

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Elections 2024 predictions & odds