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Elections 2024 predictions & odds

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Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

54%

Chris Hipkins

$2.7K Vol.

$26.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$166K Liq.

7

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$666K Vol.

$69.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

28%

Below 190

$220K Vol.

$117K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

91%

$160K Vol.

$37.3K Liq.

19

Ends in 8 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

83%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$286K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

52%

Republican Party

$2M Vol.

$246K Liq.

39

Ends in 6 months

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

Next Prime Minister of Denmark?

93%

Mette Frederiksen

$8M Vol.

$161K Liq.

151

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

83%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$109K Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

30

Ends in 7 months

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Party Winner

99%

Reform

$852K Vol.

$321K today

$67.5K Liq.

17

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: 2nd Place

92%

Labour

$84.9K Vol.

$64.2K today

$34.1K Liq.

19

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

100%

400+

$82.4K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Green wins ___ seats?

79%

500+

$46.9K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

6

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Reform wins ___ seats?

81%

1600+

$64.6K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

6

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

95%

600+

$39.0K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

50%

3

$32.7K Vol.

$65.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 25 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Conservative wins ___ seats?

100%

300+

$17.1K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner

97%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

$43.7K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 25 days

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

84%

10+

$32.7K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Next First Minister of Wales?

Next First Minister of Wales?

98%

Rhun ap Iorwerth

$16.3K Vol.

$31.8K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections 2024.

Polymarket currently hosts 137 active markets for Elections 2024 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next Prime Minister of Denmark?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next Prime Minister of Denmark?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to Mette Frederiksen. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections 2024 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.