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icon for Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner

icon for Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner

Chang San-cheng 90%

Huang Shih-chieh 4.0%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket

$14,881 Vol.

Chang San-cheng 90%

Huang Shih-chieh 4.0%

Perng Shaw-jiin <1%

Polymarket

$14,881 Vol.

icon for Chang San-cheng

Chang San-cheng

$11,426 Vol.

90%

icon for Huang Shih-chieh

Huang Shih-chieh

$2,180 Vol.

4%

icon for Perng Shaw-jiin

Perng Shaw-jiin

$1,276 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng maintains a dominant position in the Taoyuan mayoral market as the Kuomintang incumbent seeking re-election in the November 28, 2026, local elections. Candidate registration closed on September 4 with only two confirmed contenders: Chang on the KMT ticket and Huang Shih-chieh for the Democratic Progressive Party, a former legislator and deputy justice minister with local ties. Traders appear to price in Chang’s established approval ratings, administrative record on infrastructure and city development, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a special municipality. Huang’s late-April nomination and grassroots profile have not shifted the implied probabilities materially. Minor or unconfirmed names register at negligible levels, reflecting limited prospects in the two-way contest. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning since registration.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$14,881
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chang San-cheng maintains a dominant position in the Taoyuan mayoral market as the Kuomintang incumbent seeking re-election in the November 28, 2026, local elections. Candidate registration closed on September 4 with only two confirmed contenders: Chang on the KMT ticket and Huang Shih-chieh for the Democratic Progressive Party, a former legislator and deputy justice minister with local ties. Traders appear to price in Chang’s established approval ratings, administrative record on infrastructure and city development, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a special municipality. Huang’s late-April nomination and grassroots profile have not shifted the implied probabilities materially. Minor or unconfirmed names register at negligible levels, reflecting limited prospects in the two-way contest. No major late-breaking events have altered the positioning since registration.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$14,881
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:37 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chang San-cheng" at 90%, followed by "Huang Shih-chieh" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner" has generated $14.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner" is "Chang San-cheng" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Huang Shih-chieh" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.