Breaking News predictions & odds

Politics·Press

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

$37.6K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$37.6K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Zohran Mamdani

Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

$846 Vol.

$342 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

33%

December 31

$846 Vol.

$342 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·United Kingdom

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

$9.1K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$9.1K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

$150K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$150K Vol.

$17.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Fed

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

$33.6K Vol.

$83.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

11%

June 30, 2027

$33.6K Vol.

$83.9K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Politics·Court Cases

Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?

$4.3K Vol.

$844 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$4.3K Vol.

$844 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Crypto·Memecoins

NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?

$16.0K Vol.

$61 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

$16.0K Vol.

$61 Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

$190K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

$190K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Politics·Karoline Leavitt

When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

$211K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

19%

September 30

$211K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Tech·Big Tech

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

$1M Vol.

$46.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

68%

Paramount

$1M Vol.

$46.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Tech·App Store

Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?

$2.3K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2.3K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

$10.7K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

25%

$10.7K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Clavicular

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

$80.4K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$80.4K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·US House Of Representatives

Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?

$9.4K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$9.4K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$28M Vol.

$237K today

$479K Liq.

563

Ends in 4 months

63%

December 31

$28M Vol.

$237K today

$479K Liq.

563

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

$0 Vol.

$488 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

48%

September 30

$0 Vol.

$488 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Politics·Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

$2.3K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$2.3K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Politics·Trump

Kash Patel out by...?

$2M Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

143

Ends in 4 months

23%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$34.1K Liq.

143

Ends in 4 months

Finance·NYSE

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

$107K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

15%

$107K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Esports·Counter Strike 2

Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group C

$786 Vol.

$823 Liq.

94%

BORRACHEIROS

$786 Vol.

$823 Liq.

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Breaking News.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Breaking News that lets you track or trade on predictions like “FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $32.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 63% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Breaking News predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Breaking News shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Breaking News prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Breaking News prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Breaking News predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Breaking News prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Breaking News markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Breaking News prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Breaking News predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Breaking News odds?

Can I track Breaking News predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Breaking News markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Breaking News prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Breaking News markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Breaking News prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Breaking News predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Breaking News odds?

Can I track Breaking News predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Breaking News markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Breaking News predictions & odds