Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

$1,425,311 Vol.

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

António José Seguro (IND)
$162,757 Vol.
88%

André Ventura (CH)
$297,894 Vol.
82%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo
$402,767 Vol.
21%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$370,782 Vol.
10%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$101,588 Vol.
4%

António Filipe (PCP)
$1,203 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$1,025 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$2,388 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$1,390 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$2,503 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$11,395 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$169 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$608 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$436 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$1,434 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$2,396 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins
$8,259 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$515 Vol.
<1%

Manuel João Vieira
$23,918 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$30,360 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$1,031 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$492 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Volume

$1,425,311

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

$1,425,311 Vol.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

António José Seguro (IND)

$162,757 Vol.

88%

André Ventura (CH)

$297,894 Vol.

82%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo

$402,767 Vol.

21%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$370,782 Vol.

10%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$101,588 Vol.

António Filipe (PCP)

$1,203 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$1,025 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$2,388 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$1,390 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$2,503 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$11,395 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$169 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$608 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$436 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$1,434 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$2,396 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins

$8,259 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$515 Vol.

<1%

Manuel João Vieira

$23,918 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$30,360 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$1,031 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$492 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,425,311

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

37%

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

50%

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

76%

Beware of external links.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?