Following President Trump's evacuation from the White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25 due to reported gunshots, with no injuries confirmed, traders are closely monitoring his public schedule on April 26 for visible actions like wearing a blue tie during press appearances or saying "hottest" in remarks addressing the incident. Odds reflect low probabilities for outlier events such as dancing or a call with Vladimir Putin amid tightened security and ongoing Iran tensions from earlier Truth Social posts. No executive order appears on the White House presidential actions page yet, keeping that outcome uncertain until noon ET April 27 resolution check. Market consensus weighs routine visibility against post-incident protocols, resolving at 11:59 PM ET via credible reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$913 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
Trump dances
7%
Trump signs an executive order
17%
Trump wears a blue tie
27%
Trump says "Hottest"
18%
Trump talks to Vladimir Putin
5%
$913 Vol.
Trump dances
$313 Vol.
7%
Trump signs an executive order
$22 Vol.
17%
Trump wears a blue tie
$91 Vol.
27%
Trump says "Hottest"
$58 Vol.
18%
Trump talks to Vladimir Putin
$429 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a blue tie at any point on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following President Trump's evacuation from the White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25 due to reported gunshots, with no injuries confirmed, traders are closely monitoring his public schedule on April 26 for visible actions like wearing a blue tie during press appearances or saying "hottest" in remarks addressing the incident. Odds reflect low probabilities for outlier events such as dancing or a call with Vladimir Putin amid tightened security and ongoing Iran tensions from earlier Truth Social posts. No executive order appears on the White House presidential actions page yet, keeping that outcome uncertain until noon ET April 27 resolution check. Market consensus weighs routine visibility against post-incident protocols, resolving at 11:59 PM ET via credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$913End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.
AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution.
This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify.
If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”.
In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a blue tie at any point on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg
The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg
If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Following President Trump's evacuation from the White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25 due to reported gunshots, with no injuries confirmed, traders are closely monitoring his public schedule on April 26 for visible actions like wearing a blue tie during press appearances or saying "hottest" in remarks addressing the incident. Odds reflect low probabilities for outlier events such as dancing or a call with Vladimir Putin amid tightened security and ongoing Iran tensions from earlier Truth Social posts. No executive order appears on the White House presidential actions page yet, keeping that outcome uncertain until noon ET April 27 resolution check. Market consensus weighs routine visibility against post-incident protocols, resolving at 11:59 PM ET via credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on the listed date, 2026, ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$913End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Following President Trump's evacuation from the White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 25 due to reported gunshots, with no injuries confirmed, traders are closely monitoring his public schedule on April 26 for visible actions like wearing a blue tie during press appearances or saying "hottest" in remarks addressing the incident. Odds reflect low probabilities for outlier events such as dancing or a call with Vladimir Putin amid tightened security and ongoing Iran tensions from earlier Truth Social posts. No executive order appears on the White House presidential actions page yet, keeping that outcome uncertain until noon ET April 27 resolution check. Market consensus weighs routine visibility against post-incident protocols, resolving at 11:59 PM ET via credible reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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