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How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

Market icon

How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?

6 3.0%

8+ 2.5%

7 1.5%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$24,644 Vol.

6 3.0%

8+ 2.5%

7 1.5%

3 <1%

Polymarket

$24,644 Vol.

0

$5,267 Vol.

<1%

1

$2,123 Vol.

<1%

2

$7,070 Vol.

<1%

3

$2,556 Vol.

1%

4

$1,757 Vol.

56%

5

$3,153 Vol.

30%

6

$2,086 Vol.

3%

7

$445 Vol.

2%

8+

$185 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favors four pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 53%, reflecting four confirmed signings amid a late-month surge after an early slowdown.** On March 20, Trump signed S. 4138 (PL 119-80), waiving notice for a posthumous Army promotion, followed by three more on March 26: H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 (PL 119-81, authorizing a Medal of Honor). This followed Trump's March 9 declaration halting signings until Senate passage of the SAVE America Act, limiting earlier activity to non-controversial measures like military honors. With March 31 imminent and no pending bills reported for immediate floor votes or presentation, traders price a 30% chance of one additional signing but view further increases as unlikely given the compressed timeline and focus shifting to executive actions.

**Trader consensus favors four pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 53%, reflecting four confirmed signings amid a late-month surge after an early slowdown.** On March 20, Trump signed S. 4138 (PL 119-80), waiving notice for a posthumous Army promotion, followed by three more on March 26: H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 (PL 119-81, authorizing a Medal of Honor). This followed Trump's March 9 declaration halting signings until Senate passage of the SAVE America Act, limiting earlier activity to non-controversial measures like military honors. With March 31 imminent and no pending bills reported for immediate floor votes or presentation, traders price a 30% chance of one additional signing but view further increases as unlikely given the compressed timeline and focus shifting to executive actions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus favors four pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 53%, reflecting four confirmed signings amid a late-month surge after an early slowdown.** On March 20, Trump signed S. 4138 (PL 119-80), waiving notice for a posthumous Army promotion, followed by three more on March 26: H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 (PL 119-81, authorizing a Medal of Honor). This followed Trump's March 9 declaration halting signings until Senate passage of the SAVE America Act, limiting earlier activity to non-controversial measures like military honors. With March 31 imminent and no pending bills reported for immediate floor votes or presentation, traders price a 30% chance of one additional signing but view further increases as unlikely given the compressed timeline and focus shifting to executive actions.

**Trader consensus favors four pieces of legislation signed by President Trump in March at 53%, reflecting four confirmed signings amid a late-month surge after an early slowdown.** On March 20, Trump signed S. 4138 (PL 119-80), waiving notice for a posthumous Army promotion, followed by three more on March 26: H.R. 3377, H.R. 7194, and H.R. 7211 (PL 119-81, authorizing a Medal of Honor). This followed Trump's March 9 declaration halting signings until Senate passage of the SAVE America Act, limiting earlier activity to non-controversial measures like military honors. With March 31 imminent and no pending bills reported for immediate floor votes or presentation, traders price a 30% chance of one additional signing but view further increases as unlikely given the compressed timeline and focus shifting to executive actions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4" at 56%, followed by "5" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" has generated $24.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" is "4" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.