Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$105,551 Vol.

May 16, 2026

Finland

$24,025 Vol.

78%

Israel

$11,326 Vol.

60%

France

$5,046 Vol.

57%

Greece

$10,477 Vol.

54%

Australia

$2,959 Vol.

53%

Denmark

$11,631 Vol.

45%

Sweden

$13,980 Vol.

36%

Ukraine

$2,476 Vol.

36%

Romania

$1,596 Vol.

31%

Italy

$2,269 Vol.

28%

United Kingdom

$281 Vol.

12%

Bulgaria

$162 Vol.

18%

Latvia

$33 Vol.

11%

Czechia

$235 Vol.

16%

Cyprus

$5,740 Vol.

15%

Serbia

$560 Vol.

Moldova

$391 Vol.

15%

Malta

$4,478 Vol.

13%

Estonia

$240 Vol.

23%

Austria

$367 Vol.

Montenegro

$127 Vol.

Lithuania

$722 Vol.

San Marino

$26 Vol.

Norway

$1,402 Vol.

Croatia

$556 Vol.

Azerbaijan

$820 Vol.

Portugal

$7 Vol.

Poland

$55 Vol.

24%

Switzerland

$432 Vol.

Luxembourg

$265 Vol.

Germany

$1,085 Vol.

Armenia

$626 Vol.

Albania

$372 Vol.

10%

Belgium

$552 Vol.

Georgia

$231 Vol.

$105,551 Vol.

Finland

$24,025 Vol.

78%

Israel

$11,326 Vol.

60%

France

$5,046 Vol.

57%

Greece

$10,477 Vol.

54%

Australia

$2,959 Vol.

53%

Denmark

$11,631 Vol.

45%

Sweden

$13,980 Vol.

36%

Ukraine

$2,476 Vol.

36%

Romania

$1,596 Vol.

31%

Italy

$2,269 Vol.

28%

United Kingdom

$281 Vol.

12%

Bulgaria

$162 Vol.

18%

Latvia

$33 Vol.

11%

Czechia

$235 Vol.

16%

Cyprus

$5,740 Vol.

15%

Serbia

$560 Vol.

Moldova

$391 Vol.

15%

Malta

$4,478 Vol.

13%

Estonia

$240 Vol.

23%

Austria

$367 Vol.

Montenegro

$127 Vol.

Lithuania

$722 Vol.

San Marino

$26 Vol.

Norway

$1,402 Vol.

Croatia

$556 Vol.

Azerbaijan

$820 Vol.

Portugal

$7 Vol.

Poland

$55 Vol.

24%

Switzerland

$432 Vol.

Luxembourg

$265 Vol.

Germany

$1,085 Vol.

Armenia

$626 Vol.

Albania

$372 Vol.

10%

Belgium

$552 Vol.

Georgia

$231 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

25%

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

70%

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

91%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 78%, followed by "Israel" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $105.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $105.6K traded on “Eurovision 2026: Top 5,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 78¢ for "Finland" in the "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 78% chance that "Finland" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 78¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 22¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" market is scheduled to resolve on or around May 16, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Eurovision 2026: Top 5." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (2)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" generated on Polymarket?

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What are the current odds for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5"?

How will "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" be resolved?

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What does a price of 78¢ for "Finland" mean?

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