Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
$931,275 Vol.
None in 2025 96.1%
Stephen Miran 2.8%
Kristi Noem <1%
Pete Hegseth <1%
None in 2025
$56,133 Vol.
96%
None in 2025
$56,133 Vol.
96%
Stephen Miran
$68,675 Vol.
3%
Stephen Miran
$68,675 Vol.
3%
Kristi Noem
$46,174 Vol.
1%
Kristi Noem
$46,174 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$54,027 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$54,027 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$21,596 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$21,596 Vol.
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
$29,085 Vol.
<1%
Tulsi Gabbard
$29,085 Vol.
<1%
Pam Bondi
$25,928 Vol.
<1%
Pam Bondi
$25,928 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$24,772 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$24,772 Vol.
<1%
Brooke Rollins
$24,568 Vol.
<1%
Brooke Rollins
$24,568 Vol.
<1%
Scott Turner
$14,453 Vol.
<1%
Scott Turner
$14,453 Vol.
<1%
Mike Waltz
$17,356 Vol.
<1%
Mike Waltz
$17,356 Vol.
<1%
Linda McMahon
$11,768 Vol.
<1%
Linda McMahon
$11,768 Vol.
<1%
Doug Collins
$18,192 Vol.
<1%
Doug Collins
$18,192 Vol.
<1%
Lee Zeldin
$16,221 Vol.
<1%
Lee Zeldin
$16,221 Vol.
<1%
Susie Wiles
$20,038 Vol.
<1%
Susie Wiles
$20,038 Vol.
<1%
Russell T. Vought
$14,172 Vol.
<1%
Russell T. Vought
$14,172 Vol.
<1%
John Ratcliffe
$12,722 Vol.
<1%
John Ratcliffe
$12,722 Vol.
<1%
Jamieson Greer
$14,501 Vol.
<1%
Jamieson Greer
$14,501 Vol.
<1%
Kelly Loeffler
$21,149 Vol.
<1%
Kelly Loeffler
$21,149 Vol.
<1%
J.D. Vance
$321,435 Vol.
<1%
J.D. Vance
$321,435 Vol.
<1%
Scott Bessent
$22,643 Vol.
<1%
Scott Bessent
$22,643 Vol.
<1%
Doug Burgum
$11,443 Vol.
<1%
Doug Burgum
$11,443 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$20,272 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$20,272 Vol.
<1%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$14,397 Vol.
<1%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$14,397 Vol.
<1%
Sean Duffy
$14,721 Vol.
<1%
Sean Duffy
$14,721 Vol.
<1%
Chris Wright
$14,832 Vol.
<1%
Chris Wright
$14,832 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position (e.g. Mike Waltz) will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Created At: Jul 21, 2025, 10:43 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$931,275 Vol.
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
None in 2025 96.1%
Stephen Miran 2.8%
Kristi Noem <1%
Pete Hegseth <1%
None in 2025
96%
Stephen Miran
3%
Kristi Noem
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
<1%
Pam Bondi
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Brooke Rollins
<1%
Scott Turner
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Linda McMahon
<1%
Doug Collins
<1%
Lee Zeldin
<1%
Susie Wiles
<1%
Russell T. Vought
<1%
John Ratcliffe
<1%
Jamieson Greer
<1%
Kelly Loeffler
<1%
J.D. Vance
<1%
Scott Bessent
<1%
Doug Burgum
<1%
Howard Lutnick
<1%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
<1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Chris Wright
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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