Kristi Noem 100.0%
J.D. Vance <1%
Scott Bessent <1%
Doug Burgum <1%
$711,425 Vol.
$711,425 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
J.D. Vance
No
Scott Bessent
No
Doug Burgum
No
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
No
Doug Collins
No
Kristi Noem
Yes
Mike Waltz
No
None before 2027
No
Marco Rubio
No
Pete Hegseth
No
Pam Bondi
No
Brooke Rollins
No
Howard Lutnick
No
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
No
Scott Turner
No
Sean Duffy
No
Chris Wright
No
Linda McMahon
No
Lee Zeldin
No
Susie Wiles
No
Tulsi Gabbard
No
Russell T. Vought
No
John Ratcliffe
No
Jamieson Greer
No
Kelly Loeffler
No
Kristi Noem 100.0%
J.D. Vance <1%
Scott Bessent <1%
Doug Burgum <1%
$711,425 Vol.
$711,425 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
J.D. Vance
$14,536 Vol.
No
Scott Bessent
$24,803 Vol.
No
Doug Burgum
$27,782 Vol.
No
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$36,538 Vol.
No
Doug Collins
$28,579 Vol.
No
Kristi Noem
$104,437 Vol.
Yes
Mike Waltz
$21,347 Vol.
No
None before 2027
$45,488 Vol.
No
Marco Rubio
$21,519 Vol.
No
Pete Hegseth
$21,705 Vol.
No
Pam Bondi
$21,943 Vol.
No
Brooke Rollins
$70,205 Vol.
No
Howard Lutnick
$20,731 Vol.
No
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$21,141 Vol.
No
Scott Turner
$16,302 Vol.
No
Sean Duffy
$26,447 Vol.
No
Chris Wright
$25,017 Vol.
No
Linda McMahon
$26,834 Vol.
No
Lee Zeldin
$27,338 Vol.
No
Susie Wiles
$15,925 Vol.
No
Tulsi Gabbard
$20,291 Vol.
No
Russell T. Vought
$15,886 Vol.
No
John Ratcliffe
$13,186 Vol.
No
Jamieson Greer
$24,061 Vol.
No
Kelly Loeffler
$19,384 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 4, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$711,425End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 4, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions