TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Elections·New York Primary

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Steve Cohen 59%

Justin Pearson 32%

DeVante Hill 8.9%

NEW

Aug 6, 2026

Steve Cohen

$3,286 Vol.

59%

Justin Pearson

$807 Vol.

32%

DeVante Hill

$0 Vol.

Steve Cohen 59%

Justin Pearson 32%

DeVante Hill 8.9%

NEW

Aug 6, 2026

Steve Cohen

$3,286 Vol.

59%

Justin Pearson

$807 Vol.

32%

DeVante Hill

$0 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen leads trader consensus at 59.5% implied probability for the Tennessee 9th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 1, driven by his long tenure since 2007, dominant fundraising exceeding $1 million in recent FEC reports, and endorsements from national Democrats like EMILY's List. State Rep. Justin Pearson trails at 31.5%, bolstered by his high-profile "Tennessee Three" protest visibility and grassroots progressive support, though limited funds hinder his challenge. Activist DeVante Hill holds 10.5% amid local Memphis backing but lacks broader polling traction. Recent July surveys from Impact Research show Cohen at 43% to Pearson's 25%, reinforcing market pricing amid low early voting turnout signals.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 21, 2026, 8:20 PM UTC

Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?

47%

Will Nate Blouin be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

49%

Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?

61%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Steve Cohen" at 59%, followed by "Justin Pearson" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Steve Cohen" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Justin Pearson" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 59¢ for "Steve Cohen" in the "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 59% chance that "Steve Cohen" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 59¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 41¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 6, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

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