Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

$1,651,311 Vol

António José Seguro (IND)
$196,021 Vol.
88%

André Ventura (CH)
$370,098 Vol.
80%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo
$486,845 Vol.
30%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$385,715 Vol.
3%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$116,235 Vol.
1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$335 Vol.
1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$1,030 Vol.
1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$1,400 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$2,098 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$906 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins
$8,799 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$11,408 Vol.
<1%

Manuel João Vieira
$25,591 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$2,986 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$2,396 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$608 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$2,850 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$1,593 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$515 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$32,360 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$1,031 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$492 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. The two candidates with the greatest number of votes in the first round will advance to the second round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidates that qualify for the second round of this election.

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

If a candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Volume

$1,651,311

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Beware of external links.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

$1,651,311 Vol

António José Seguro (IND)

$196,021 Vol.

88%

André Ventura (CH)

$370,098 Vol.

80%

João Cotrim de Figueiredo

$486,845 Vol.

30%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$385,715 Vol.

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$116,235 Vol.

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$335 Vol.

Tim Vieira (IND)

$1,030 Vol.

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$1,400 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$2,098 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$906 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins

$8,799 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$11,408 Vol.

<1%

Manuel João Vieira

$25,591 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$2,986 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$2,396 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$608 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$2,850 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$1,593 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$515 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$32,360 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$1,031 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$492 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$1,651,311

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Nov 26, 2025, 10:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

36%

Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

53%

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

77%

Beware of external links.

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?