Live tracking from FlightAware and preliminary DOT data show under 8,000 US flights delayed on March 25 as major hubs report smooth operations amid clear weather nationwide and no FAA system outages or widespread mechanical issues, anchoring trader consensus at 98% for the <8000 outcome. This reflects a sharp drop from earlier March's higher delays due to residual winter storms and air traffic congestion, with on-time performance exceeding recent averages. Potential challengers include evening thunderstorms prompting ground stops, last-minute tarmac delays at high-traffic airports like ATL or ORD, or upward revisions in final Bureau of Transportation Statistics figures, though minimal disruptions through late afternoon limit these risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated<8000 98.2%
8000-8500 <1%
9500-10000 <1%
>11000 <1%
$14,340 Vol.
$14,340 Vol.
<8000
98%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
1%
9500-10000
1%
10000-10500
1%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
<8000 98.2%
8000-8500 <1%
9500-10000 <1%
>11000 <1%
$14,340 Vol.
$14,340 Vol.
<8000
98%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
1%
9500-10000
1%
10000-10500
1%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Live tracking from FlightAware and preliminary DOT data show under 8,000 US flights delayed on March 25 as major hubs report smooth operations amid clear weather nationwide and no FAA system outages or widespread mechanical issues, anchoring trader consensus at 98% for the <8000 outcome. This reflects a sharp drop from earlier March's higher delays due to residual winter storms and air traffic congestion, with on-time performance exceeding recent averages. Potential challengers include evening thunderstorms prompting ground stops, last-minute tarmac delays at high-traffic airports like ATL or ORD, or upward revisions in final Bureau of Transportation Statistics figures, though minimal disruptions through late afternoon limit these risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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