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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$2,334,140 Vol.

Donald Trump 18%

UNRWA 9%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 6.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$2,334,140
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 10:04 PM UTC
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$2,334,140 Vol.

Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 18%

UNRWA 9%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 6.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Donald Trump

$908,449 Vol.

18%

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UNRWA

$12,633 Vol.

9%

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Yulia Navalnaya

$13,725 Vol.

7%

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Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$25,868 Vol.

6%

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Pope Leo XIV

$11,311 Vol.

3%

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Greta Thunberg

$6,433 Vol.

3%

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Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$42,194 Vol.

3%

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António Guterres

$4,650 Vol.

3%

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International Court of Justice

$10,422 Vol.

2%

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Khaled Mashal

$704 Vol.

2%

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Elon Musk

$197,777 Vol.

1%

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Xi Jinping

$71,776 Vol.

1%

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Vladimir Putin

$43,968 Vol.

1%

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Charlie Kirk

$129,530 Vol.

1%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$54,134 Vol.

1%

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Mohammed bin Salman

$126,156 Vol.

1%

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Julian Assange

$63,006 Vol.

1%

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Narendra Modi

$116,134 Vol.

1%

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Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$123,109 Vol.

1%

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Ahmed al-Sharaa

$372,159 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$2,334,140
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 10:04 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.