Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Name: Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Start: 2025-09-29T19:08:02.625052Z
End: 2026-03-15T00:00:00Z

$116,243 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Sinners 81%

Sentimental Value 8%

Marty Supreme 5.1%

It Was Just an Accident 3.9%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Sinners
$32,729 Vol.
81%

Sentimental Value
$10,113 Vol.
8%

Marty Supreme
$24,360 Vol.
5%

It Was Just an Accident
$20,715 Vol.
4%

Weapons
$3,884 Vol.
2%

The Secret Agent
$2,838 Vol.
1%

A House of Dynamite
$2,613 Vol.
<1%

Sorry Baby
$2,036 Vol.
<1%

After the Hunt
$2,757 Vol.
<1%

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
$2,238 Vol.
<1%

Jay Kelly
$2,684 Vol.
<1%

Rental Family
$2,048 Vol.
<1%

Roofman
$2,594 Vol.
<1%

Father Mother Sister Brother
$2,541 Vol.
<1%

The Smashing Machine
$2,093 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Sep 29, 2025, 6:33 PM UTC

Volume

$116,243

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 29, 2025, 6:33 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$116,243 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Sinners 81%

Sentimental Value 8%

Marty Supreme 5.1%

It Was Just an Accident 3.9%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Sinners

$32,729 Vol.

81%

Sentimental Value

$10,113 Vol.

Marty Supreme

$24,360 Vol.

It Was Just an Accident

$20,715 Vol.

Weapons

$3,884 Vol.

The Secret Agent

$2,838 Vol.

A House of Dynamite

$2,613 Vol.

<1%

Sorry Baby

$2,036 Vol.

<1%

After the Hunt

$2,757 Vol.

<1%

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

$2,238 Vol.

<1%

Jay Kelly

$2,684 Vol.

<1%

Rental Family

$2,048 Vol.

<1%

Roofman

$2,594 Vol.

<1%

Father Mother Sister Brother

$2,541 Vol.

<1%

The Smashing Machine

$2,093 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$116,243

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 29, 2025, 6:33 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

89%

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

81%

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

78%

Beware of external links.

Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Sinners
$32,729 Vol.
81%

Sentimental Value
$10,113 Vol.
8%

Marty Supreme
$24,360 Vol.
5%

It Was Just an Accident
$20,715 Vol.
4%

Weapons
$3,884 Vol.
2%

The Secret Agent
$2,838 Vol.
1%

A House of Dynamite
$2,613 Vol.
<1%

Sorry Baby
$2,036 Vol.
<1%

After the Hunt
$2,757 Vol.
<1%

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
$2,238 Vol.
<1%

Jay Kelly
$2,684 Vol.
<1%

Rental Family
$2,048 Vol.
<1%

Roofman
$2,594 Vol.
<1%

Father Mother Sister Brother
$2,541 Vol.
<1%

The Smashing Machine
$2,093 Vol.
<1%

Market Context