Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner
$15,732 Vol.
Sinners 40%
Sentimental Value 23%
Marty Supreme 20%
It Was Just an Accident 4.2%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Sinners
$2,228 Vol.
40%
Sinners
$2,228 Vol.
40%
Sentimental Value
$1,698 Vol.
23%
Sentimental Value
$1,698 Vol.
23%
Marty Supreme
$1,742 Vol.
20%
Marty Supreme
$1,742 Vol.
20%
It Was Just an Accident
$562 Vol.
4%
It Was Just an Accident
$562 Vol.
4%
Sorry Baby
$182 Vol.
3%
Sorry Baby
$182 Vol.
3%
A House of Dynamite
$426 Vol.
3%
A House of Dynamite
$426 Vol.
3%
The Smashing Machine
$652 Vol.
2%
The Smashing Machine
$652 Vol.
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
$780 Vol.
1%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
$780 Vol.
1%
After the Hunt
$1,537 Vol.
<1%
After the Hunt
$1,537 Vol.
<1%
The Secret Agent
$590 Vol.
<1%
The Secret Agent
$590 Vol.
<1%
Weapons
$735 Vol.
<1%
Weapons
$735 Vol.
<1%
Roofman
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
Roofman
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
Jay Kelly
$1,273 Vol.
<1%
Jay Kelly
$1,273 Vol.
<1%
Rental Family
$697 Vol.
<1%
Rental Family
$697 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,732
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$15,732 Vol.
Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Sinners 40%
Sentimental Value 23%
Marty Supreme 20%
It Was Just an Accident 4.2%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Sinners
$2,228 Vol.
40%
Sentimental Value
$1,698 Vol.
23%
Marty Supreme
$1,742 Vol.
20%
It Was Just an Accident
$562 Vol.
4%
Sorry Baby
$182 Vol.
A House of Dynamite
$426 Vol.
3%
The Smashing Machine
$652 Vol.
2%
If I Had Legs I'd Kick You
$780 Vol.
1%
After the Hunt
$1,537 Vol.
<1%
The Secret Agent
$590 Vol.
<1%
Weapons
$735 Vol.
<1%
Roofman
$1,285 Vol.
<1%
Father Mother Sister Brother
$1,346 Vol.
<1%
Jay Kelly
$1,273 Vol.
<1%
Rental Family
$697 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$15,732
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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Beware of external links.