Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner

$42,905 Vol.

Sinners 36%

Marty Supreme 29%

It Was Just an Accident 16.4%

Sentimental Value 12%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$42,905
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:33 PM
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$42,905 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Sinners 36%

Marty Supreme 29%

It Was Just an Accident 16.4%

Sentimental Value 12%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Sinners

$4,500 Vol.

36%

Marty Supreme

$8,123 Vol.

29%

It Was Just an Accident

$10,305 Vol.

16%

Sentimental Value

$6,622 Vol.

12%

Sorry Baby

$273 Vol.

3%

A House of Dynamite

$569 Vol.

3%

Weapons

$1,129 Vol.

1%

Roofman

$1,626 Vol.

1%

The Secret Agent

$1,533 Vol.

1%

After the Hunt

$1,685 Vol.

1%

If I Had Legs I'd Kick You

$1,344 Vol.

<1%

Rental Family

$1,143 Vol.

<1%

Jay Kelly

$1,672 Vol.

<1%

Father Mother Sister Brother

$1,637 Vol.

<1%

The Smashing Machine

$744 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$42,905
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:33 PM