Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Name: Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner
Start: 2025-09-29T19:08:02.634655Z
End: 2026-03-15T00:00:00Z

$2,908,546 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Paul Thomas Anderson 85%

Chloé Zhao 3.3%

Guillermo del Toro 3.0%

Jafar Panahi 1.8%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson
$321,859 Vol.
85%

Chloé Zhao
$25,799 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Guillermo del Toro
$66,976 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Jafar Panahi
$215,426 Vol.
2%

Josh Safdie
$321,156 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Ryan Coogler
$35,219 Vol.
1%

Joachim Trier
$89,144 Vol.
1%

Kleber Mendonça Filho
$55,808 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Benny Safdie
$115,617 Vol.
<1%

Yorgos Lanthimos
$67,769 Vol.
<1%

Kathryn Bigelow
$26,921 Vol.
<1%

Park Chan-wook
$593,280 Vol.
<1%

Jon M. Chu
$351,889 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Hikari
$597,778 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Derek Cianfrance
$23,905 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Director.

If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Sep 29, 2025, 6:34 PM UTC

Volume

$2,908,546

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 29, 2025, 6:34 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$2,908,546 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Paul Thomas Anderson 85%

Chloé Zhao 3.3%

Guillermo del Toro 3.0%

Jafar Panahi 1.8%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson

$321,859 Vol.

85%

Chloé Zhao

$25,799 Vol.

Guillermo del Toro

$66,976 Vol.

Jafar Panahi

$215,426 Vol.

Josh Safdie

$321,156 Vol.

Ryan Coogler

$35,219 Vol.

Joachim Trier

$89,144 Vol.

Kleber Mendonça Filho

$55,808 Vol.

<1%

Benny Safdie

$115,617 Vol.

<1%

Yorgos Lanthimos

$67,769 Vol.

<1%

Kathryn Bigelow

$26,921 Vol.

<1%

Park Chan-wook

$593,280 Vol.

<1%

Jon M. Chu

$351,889 Vol.

<1%

Hikari

$597,778 Vol.

<1%

Derek Cianfrance

$23,905 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$2,908,546

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 29, 2025, 6:34 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Paul Thomas Anderson be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

99%

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

42%

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

77%

Beware of external links.

Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Paul Thomas Anderson
$321,859 Vol.
85%

Chloé Zhao
$25,799 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Guillermo del Toro
$66,976 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

Jafar Panahi
$215,426 Vol.
2%

Josh Safdie
$321,156 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Ryan Coogler
$35,219 Vol.
1%

Joachim Trier
$89,144 Vol.
1%

Kleber Mendonça Filho
$55,808 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Benny Safdie
$115,617 Vol.
<1%

Yorgos Lanthimos
$67,769 Vol.
<1%

Kathryn Bigelow
$26,921 Vol.
<1%

Park Chan-wook
$593,280 Vol.
<1%

Jon M. Chu
$351,889 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Hikari
$597,778 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Derek Cianfrance
$23,905 Vol.
<1%

Market Context