Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Name: Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner
Start: 2025-09-29T19:08:02.634655Z
End: 2026-03-15T00:00:00Z

$3,303,053 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Paul Thomas Anderson 89%

Josh Safdie 3.3%

Ryan Coogler 2.4%

Guillermo del Toro 1.8%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson
$345,989 Vol.
89%

Josh Safdie
$334,286 Vol.
3%

Ryan Coogler
$46,215 Vol.
2%

Guillermo del Toro
$95,753 Vol.
2%

Chloé Zhao
$36,891 Vol.
2%

Jafar Panahi
$326,180 Vol.
1%

Yorgos Lanthimos
$78,144 Vol.
1%

Joachim Trier
$149,434 Vol.
1%

Park Chan-wook
$676,904 Vol.
<1%

Hikari
$602,508 Vol.
<1%

Kleber Mendonça Filho
$62,600 Vol.
<1%

Benny Safdie
$120,326 Vol.
<1%

Kathryn Bigelow
$31,598 Vol.
<1%

Jon M. Chu
$365,231 Vol.
<1%

Derek Cianfrance
$30,994 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Director.

If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Sep 29, 2025, 6:34 PM UTC

Volume

$3,303,053

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 29, 2025, 6:34 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$3,303,053 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Paul Thomas Anderson 89%

Josh Safdie 3.3%

Ryan Coogler 2.4%

Guillermo del Toro 1.8%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Paul Thomas Anderson

$345,989 Vol.

89%

Josh Safdie

$334,286 Vol.

Ryan Coogler

$46,215 Vol.

Guillermo del Toro

$95,753 Vol.

Chloé Zhao

$36,891 Vol.

Jafar Panahi

$326,180 Vol.

Yorgos Lanthimos

$78,144 Vol.

Joachim Trier

$149,434 Vol.

Park Chan-wook

$676,904 Vol.

<1%

Hikari

$602,508 Vol.

<1%

Kleber Mendonça Filho

$62,600 Vol.

<1%

Benny Safdie

$120,326 Vol.

<1%

Kathryn Bigelow

$31,598 Vol.

<1%

Jon M. Chu

$365,231 Vol.

<1%

Derek Cianfrance

$30,994 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$3,303,053

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 29, 2025, 6:34 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Paul Thomas Anderson be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

100%

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

78%

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

81%

Beware of external links.

Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Paul Thomas Anderson
$345,989 Vol.
89%

Josh Safdie
$334,286 Vol.
3%

Ryan Coogler
$46,215 Vol.
2%

Guillermo del Toro
$95,753 Vol.
2%

Chloé Zhao
$36,891 Vol.
2%

Jafar Panahi
$326,180 Vol.
1%

Yorgos Lanthimos
$78,144 Vol.
1%

Joachim Trier
$149,434 Vol.
1%

Park Chan-wook
$676,904 Vol.
<1%

Hikari
$602,508 Vol.
<1%

Kleber Mendonça Filho
$62,600 Vol.
<1%

Benny Safdie
$120,326 Vol.
<1%

Kathryn Bigelow
$31,598 Vol.
<1%

Jon M. Chu
$365,231 Vol.
<1%

Derek Cianfrance
$30,994 Vol.
<1%

Market Context