Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

$43,536 Vol.

One Battle After Another 65%

Hamnet 31%

Train Dreams 2.5%

The Life of Chuck <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,536
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:33 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$43,536 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

One Battle After Another 65%

Hamnet 31%

Train Dreams 2.5%

The Life of Chuck <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$10,992 Vol.

65%

Hamnet

$8,843 Vol.

31%

Train Dreams

$2,248 Vol.

2%

The Life of Chuck

$1,226 Vol.

1%

Nuremberg

$2,892 Vol.

1%

Ballad of a Small Player

$1,219 Vol.

1%

Frankenstein

$3,929 Vol.

1%

No Other Choice

$2,778 Vol.

1%

Wicked: For Good

$1,535 Vol.

1%

Hedda

$1,341 Vol.

<1%

Wake Up Dead Man

$1,586 Vol.

<1%

Nouvelle Vague

$1,135 Vol.

<1%

Bugonia

$1,518 Vol.

<1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

$1,160 Vol.

<1%

Is This Thing On?

$1,133 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$43,536
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:33 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.