Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

$199,177 Vol.

One Battle After Another 89%

Hamnet 8%

Train Dreams 1.7%

Frankenstein <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$199,177
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:33 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$199,177 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

One Battle After Another 89%

Hamnet 8%

Train Dreams 1.7%

Frankenstein <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$32,032 Vol.

89%

Hamnet

$46,977 Vol.

8%

Train Dreams

$14,346 Vol.

2%

Frankenstein

$12,406 Vol.

1%

Bugonia

$8,669 Vol.

1%

No Other Choice

$9,075 Vol.

1%

Nuremberg

$12,225 Vol.

<1%

Ballad of a Small Player

$7,384 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$8,227 Vol.

<1%

The Life of Chuck

$7,729 Vol.

<1%

Is This Thing On?

$8,094 Vol.

<1%

Wake Up Dead Man

$9,214 Vol.

<1%

Nouvelle Vague

$7,459 Vol.

<1%

Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere

$8,235 Vol.

<1%

Hedda

$7,105 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$199,177
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 29, 2025, 6:33 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.