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US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?

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US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?

8% chance
Polymarket
NEW
8% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System. Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify. Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Treasury Department's March 26 announcement outlined plans to feature President Trump's signature on all new paper currency—a historic first for a sitting president—replacing the Treasurer's signature alongside Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's, as part of semiquincentennial celebrations marking America's 250th anniversary. Implementation begins with $100 bills in June 2026, followed by other denominations, explicitly after the April 30 deadline. No prior issuance or accelerated production has occurred, despite the redesign's confirmation, leading traders to price a 91.7% implied probability on "No" amid the fixed timeline and standard Bureau of Engraving and Printing processes for currency updates. Late-breaking changes remain possible but unlikely given procedural norms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury.

“Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System.

Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify.

Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,094
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System. Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify. Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System. Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify. Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. Treasury Department's March 26 announcement outlined plans to feature President Trump's signature on all new paper currency—a historic first for a sitting president—replacing the Treasurer's signature alongside Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's, as part of semiquincentennial celebrations marking America's 250th anniversary. Implementation begins with $100 bills in June 2026, followed by other denominations, explicitly after the April 30 deadline. No prior issuance or accelerated production has occurred, despite the redesign's confirmation, leading traders to price a 91.7% implied probability on "No" amid the fixed timeline and standard Bureau of Engraving and Printing processes for currency updates. Late-breaking changes remain possible but unlikely given procedural norms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury.

“Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System.

Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify.

Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,094
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 2:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System. Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify. Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 8% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 8¢, the market collectively assigns a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?" is 8% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 8% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.