Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

Geopolitics·Derivatives

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

$1,282,785 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026

30%

$918,728 Vol.

<1%

50%

$364,057 Vol.

$1,282,785 Vol.

30%

$918,728 Vol.

<1%

50%

$364,057 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027) is priced over the listed value for any four-hour period ending by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027-over-50 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Trump's December 22 Truth Social post declaring U.S. interest in acquiring Greenland for national security has reignited speculation, briefly boosting Polymarket trader consensus on the "Trump acquires Greenland before 2027" probability above 10% before settling around 5-7%. Immediate pushback from Denmark's Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, who deemed it "unacceptable," and Greenland's Premier Múte Egede, affirming "we are not for sale," alongside polls showing 85% local opposition, has dampened sentiment. Historical precedent from Trump's 2019 bid, rebuffed diplomatically, underscores sovereignty hurdles under international law. Traders eye post-inauguration signals from January 20, 2025, including State Department nominees and Arctic policy announcements, as key catalysts before March 31.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 21, 2026, 12:05 AM UTC

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

16%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50%" at 1%, followed by "30%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" is "50%" at just 1%, with "30%" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.3 million traded on “Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 1¢ for "50%" in the "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 1% chance that "50%" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 1¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 99¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?" market has an active community of 984 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

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Frequently Asked Questions

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