Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TWEET COUNT
1
Time left
TWEETS
1
Time left

<20 78%

20-39 14%

160-179 2.4%

200+ 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW

<20 78%

20-39 14%

160-179 2.4%

200+ 2.3%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$3,849 Vol.

78%

20-39

$352 Vol.

14%

40-59

$417 Vol.

2%

60-79

$997 Vol.

2%

80-99

$326 Vol.

2%

100-119

$328 Vol.

2%

120-139

$346 Vol.

2%

140-159

$342 Vol.

2%

160-179

$344 Vol.

2%

180-199

$371 Vol.

2%

200+

$449 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 20 posts by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X account (@khamenei_ir) for March 27–April 3, 2026, at 77%, reflecting its established low-volume pattern of sharing archival statements from the martyred Supreme Leader amid Iran’s ongoing conflicts with the US and Israel. Recent activity shows just one post on March 27 (12:19 ET) praising Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq, following two on March 26 critiquing US decline and affirming Hezbollah’s resilience—consistent with 4 posts the prior week (March 20–27) and 11 total in March to date, averaging under 4 weekly. Absent escalation signals like major airstrikes or diplomatic announcements in the last 48 hours, traders anticipate no surge, positioning 20–39 posts as a distant 13.5% alternative.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 20 posts by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X account (@khamenei_ir) for March 27–April 3, 2026, at 77%, reflecting its established low-volume pattern of sharing archival statements from the martyred Supreme Leader amid Iran’s ongoing conflicts with the US and Israel. Recent activity shows just one post on March 27 (12:19 ET) praising Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq, following two on March 26 critiquing US decline and affirming Hezbollah’s resilience—consistent with 4 posts the prior week (March 20–27) and 11 total in March to date, averaging under 4 weekly. Absent escalation signals like major airstrikes or diplomatic announcements in the last 48 hours, traders anticipate no surge, positioning 20–39 posts as a distant 13.5% alternative.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 27, 12:00 PM ET and April 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 20 posts by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X account (@khamenei_ir) for March 27–April 3, 2026, at 77%, reflecting its established low-volume pattern of sharing archival statements from the martyred Supreme Leader amid Iran’s ongoing conflicts with the US and Israel. Recent activity shows just one post on March 27 (12:19 ET) praising Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq, following two on March 26 critiquing US decline and affirming Hezbollah’s resilience—consistent with 4 posts the prior week (March 20–27) and 11 total in March to date, averaging under 4 weekly. Absent escalation signals like major airstrikes or diplomatic announcements in the last 48 hours, traders anticipate no surge, positioning 20–39 posts as a distant 13.5% alternative.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors fewer than 20 posts by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s official X account (@khamenei_ir) for March 27–April 3, 2026, at 77%, reflecting its established low-volume pattern of sharing archival statements from the martyred Supreme Leader amid Iran’s ongoing conflicts with the US and Israel. Recent activity shows just one post on March 27 (12:19 ET) praising Resistance forces in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq, following two on March 26 critiquing US decline and affirming Hezbollah’s resilience—consistent with 4 posts the prior week (March 20–27) and 11 total in March to date, averaging under 4 weekly. Absent escalation signals like major airstrikes or diplomatic announcements in the last 48 hours, traders anticipate no surge, positioning 20–39 posts as a distant 13.5% alternative.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 71–80 times during March Madness?

39%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<20" at 78%, followed by "20-39" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is "<20" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "20-39" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.