Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on March 29 indicates a daytime high of 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% precipitation chance, fueling trader consensus around 24–26°C as leading outcomes. District-specific models, such as for Da'an, project peaks up to 26–27°C during afternoon hours around 2 p.m., driven by moderate east-northeasterly winds (1–4 m/s) and relative humidity near 60%, but partial cloud cover and potential showers introduce uncertainty that differentiates these from cooler 24°C scenarios via reduced solar insolation. Urban heat island effects may nudge highs higher, though sea breezes could temper peaks; updated CWA guidance expected overnight will clarify model consensus amid typical March variability averaging 22°C highs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 29?
25°C 29%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
27°C 11%
$158,941 Vol.
$158,941 Vol.
22°C or below
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
29%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 29%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
27°C 11%
$158,941 Vol.
$158,941 Vol.
22°C or below
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
29%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for Taipei on March 29 indicates a daytime high of 20–27°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30% precipitation chance, fueling trader consensus around 24–26°C as leading outcomes. District-specific models, such as for Da'an, project peaks up to 26–27°C during afternoon hours around 2 p.m., driven by moderate east-northeasterly winds (1–4 m/s) and relative humidity near 60%, but partial cloud cover and potential showers introduce uncertainty that differentiates these from cooler 24°C scenarios via reduced solar insolation. Urban heat island effects may nudge highs higher, though sea breezes could temper peaks; updated CWA guidance expected overnight will clarify model consensus amid typical March variability averaging 22°C highs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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