The near-certain trader consensus against abolishing the Federal Reserve before 2027 stems from the absence of viable legislative momentum. The Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act (H.R. 1846), introduced in March 2025 by a small group of House Republicans and referred to committee, advanced no further, consistent with similar prior proposals that stalled. Core monetary policy functions, balance sheet operations, and statutory independence under the Federal Reserve Act make dissolution require broad congressional majorities and presidential approval unlikely in the short window remaining. Recent developments, including rate decisions under Chair Kevin Warsh and administration tensions, have focused on oversight and reform rather than elimination. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented floor action or overrides before year-end, scenarios with no evident support in current congressional priorities or voting patterns.