The near-certain trader consensus against abolition of the Federal Reserve before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of legislative momentum on related measures, such as the Federal Reserve Board Abolition Act introduced in 2025, which remains stalled in committee without advancing to votes. Enacting such a change would require passage through both chambers of Congress, repeal of the 1913 Federal Reserve Act, and a transition of monetary authority to the Treasury or alternative mechanisms—steps constrained by institutional independence norms, Senate procedural hurdles, and the compressed timeline remaining in 2026. Recent developments, including task forces under Fed leadership focused on internal reforms like balance sheet adjustments and policy frameworks, further underscore continuity rather than dissolution. While improbable, late-session congressional action amid a severe financial crisis or a sudden shift in majority priorities could still introduce limited uncertainty before the resolution date.