President Trump’s February 2026 directive for maximum transparency on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and extraterrestrial files has fueled intense trader interest in the timing of further releases. The first tranche dropped on May 8, followed by a second batch of dozens of previously classified documents and videos on May 22, including unexplained green orbs and discs, with additional rolling updates promised every few weeks via the new PURSUE portal. This historic declassification push, building on years of congressional hearings and Pentagon UAP reports, has sparked unprecedented public engagement, with the site logging over a billion views and amplifying cultural fascination around government disclosures. Upcoming tranches and any related statements from the administration remain key catalysts that could shift market-implied odds as the process unfolds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$56,833 Vol.
May 22, 2026
May 22
Yes
May 31
Yes
December 31
Yes
$56,833 Vol.
May 22
$20,513 Vol.
Yes
May 31
$18,915 Vol.
Yes
December 31
$17,405 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s February 2026 directive for maximum transparency on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and extraterrestrial files has fueled intense trader interest in the timing of further releases. The first tranche dropped on May 8, followed by a second batch of dozens of previously classified documents and videos on May 22, including unexplained green orbs and discs, with additional rolling updates promised every few weeks via the new PURSUE portal. This historic declassification push, building on years of congressional hearings and Pentagon UAP reports, has sparked unprecedented public engagement, with the site logging over a billion views and amplifying cultural fascination around government disclosures. Upcoming tranches and any related statements from the administration remain key catalysts that could shift market-implied odds as the process unfolds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$56,833End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s February 2026 directive for maximum transparency on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and extraterrestrial files has fueled intense trader interest in the timing of further releases. The first tranche dropped on May 8, followed by a second batch of dozens of previously classified documents and videos on May 22, including unexplained green orbs and discs, with additional rolling updates promised every few weeks via the new PURSUE portal. This historic declassification push, building on years of congressional hearings and Pentagon UAP reports, has sparked unprecedented public engagement, with the site logging over a billion views and amplifying cultural fascination around government disclosures. Upcoming tranches and any related statements from the administration remain key catalysts that could shift market-implied odds as the process unfolds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$56,833End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President Trump’s February 2026 directive for maximum transparency on unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and extraterrestrial files has fueled intense trader interest in the timing of further releases. The first tranche dropped on May 8, followed by a second batch of dozens of previously classified documents and videos on May 22, including unexplained green orbs and discs, with additional rolling updates promised every few weeks via the new PURSUE portal. This historic declassification push, building on years of congressional hearings and Pentagon UAP reports, has sparked unprecedented public engagement, with the site logging over a billion views and amplifying cultural fascination around government disclosures. Upcoming tranches and any related statements from the administration remain key catalysts that could shift market-implied odds as the process unfolds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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