Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advances from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican Mike Cargile to contest the November general election in California's 35th congressional district. The solidly Democratic district, centered in San Bernardino County, has delivered consistent majorities for Torres since 2015, including a 17-point margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched partisan composition, the absence of competitive primary challengers, and limited evidence of shifting voter coalitions or external events that would alter the baseline. A national Republican surge or unforeseen developments within the resolution window remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$34,483 거래량
$34,483 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
4%
$34,483 거래량
$34,483 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$19,895 거래량
95%
공화당
$14,588 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advances from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican Mike Cargile to contest the November general election in California's 35th congressional district. The solidly Democratic district, centered in San Bernardino County, has delivered consistent majorities for Torres since 2015, including a 17-point margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched partisan composition, the absence of competitive primary challengers, and limited evidence of shifting voter coalitions or external events that would alter the baseline. A national Republican surge or unforeseen developments within the resolution window remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
거래량
$34,483종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advances from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican Mike Cargile to contest the November general election in California's 35th congressional district. The solidly Democratic district, centered in San Bernardino County, has delivered consistent majorities for Torres since 2015, including a 17-point margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched partisan composition, the absence of competitive primary challengers, and limited evidence of shifting voter coalitions or external events that would alter the baseline. A national Republican surge or unforeseen developments within the resolution window remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$34,483종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres advances from the June 2, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican Mike Cargile to contest the November general election in California's 35th congressional district. The solidly Democratic district, centered in San Bernardino County, has delivered consistent majorities for Torres since 2015, including a 17-point margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this entrenched partisan composition, the absence of competitive primary challengers, and limited evidence of shifting voter coalitions or external events that would alter the baseline. A national Republican surge or unforeseen developments within the resolution window remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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